MSN now does the best search
The NOISE group of Netscape, Oracle, IBM, Sun Microsystems, Corel and Everyone else had the model right years ago. With bandwidth ( such as private networks - intranets, extra-nets, and other high speed networks ) the network becomes the system. Each member of the system - clients and servers are integrated through common languages or objects.
The idea is that a person interested in the service manual for a piece of equipment or operational system - a service engineer or client at a PC, or in the field using a lap top, wireless phone or other device not only could look up information but order parts, update systems, see graphic display, talk to experts, hold a meeting between the consultant and the providers and the home system would gather information about what is going on and what works and what doesn’t.
The service providers can MS.net, oracle.net, IBM.net Sun.net, AOL.net, apple.net, excite.net, go.net, yahoo.net, - plug and play just like the cell phone. For $ 50 a month your ISP becomes an interactive system to other services.
The contractor enters his phone book, calendar, and buys services from engineers, accountants, and get free services from suppliers, banks, sub contractors, etc. Those connected have a great advantage over those out of the loop.
The idea of references is still useful but you can also do a up to the minute search by a hyper text link that includes the key words -
http://nt.excite.com/ntd.dcg?UID=A61BAC843351654C;page=create
http://nt.excite.com/ntd.dcg?UID=A61BAC843351654C&page=show&topic=Nano%20Technology&sb=summary
Windows in the cloudy sky:
What Microsoft wants to do is control the servers with a MS provided next, next generation NT platform operating system called XML but not open and universal.
The .net system works with devices that have .net codes built it. Microsoft products will run on .net as a server - client interface - XML files, XML data base, XML storage, XML index, id, calendar, updates, notifications, out in the cloud on MS XML server software doing object imbedded codes.
The applications become notations or services on the page.
The universal canvas API. Hardware drives, across all the devices and the .net controller in the a cloud. Development applications are built on the XML kits connected to the browser. This was Netscape’s vision from the beginning.. This is why MS had to kill Netscape and the NOISE group and what the browser wars was really about.
The platform is in the sky - Microsoft idea is the new version of what Netscape and SUN - the NOISE group ( Netscape, Oracle, IBM, Sun, and Everyone else ) started talking about five years ago.
The server ( web site ) company internets, the ISP, wireless devices, i-appliances, game panels, can all use audio, video, photograph, office applications - word process, presentation, spread sheets, data bases, in a interactive way using a server AGENT or personalized options given the application, the device used, and the pattern of application - on a rental or fee-for-service basics. In other words all the complex stuff is up stream - rich standards based on XML works between platforms and programs but at the server not on the PC - This is the critical and profound change.
The server in the cloud does the transfer and integration - is the platform in the sky that can work with all kinds of devices. It can take a record from one place in one format and uses it in another program in a different format guided by the smart agent. Information can be used almost anywhere from almost anywhere.
The devices can use keyboards, mouse, voice, hand writing, file transfer, clip board, as inputs as well as agent intelligence on the server and user interface.
Not news - cloudy vision part two :
http://www.wired.com/news/lycos/0,1306,37168,00.html
Gates for the first time emphasized the Web browser as the central application of computing. Echoing remarks made by counterparts Marc Andreessen and Scott McNealy four years ago, Gates said the network is even more important than the computer.
http://www.microsoft.com/presspass/topics/f2k/default.asp
Microsoft is creating an advanced new generation of software that will meld computing and communications in revolutionary new ways; offer every developer the tools to transform the Web and all other aspects of the computing experience; and enable businesses, knowledge workers and consumers to employ technology on their own terms.
See cloudy vision in http://www.wiredbrain.com/gates.htm
year Bill Gates ( reference to HTML ) Building Internet Applications Professional Developers Conference San Francisco -- March 13, 1996
http://www.wiredbrain.com/bill-g.htm
Maybe the only place to find these remarks
RE: Bulletin July 15th:
VDO http://www.vdo.net and ftp.vdo.net /pub vdol32b2.exe
VDO has been upgraded then see Bill Gates on the Internet http://www.vdo.net/misc/keynote.html
The script is on ( and below in an edited format ) http://www.wiredbrain.com/bill-g.htm the transcript ( with errors ) http://www.wiredbrain.con/gates.htm is the same as below.
It seems that Bill underestimated the speed but not the direction of the intra-nets and inter-nets.
The central point that it should be easy using the http format
to have full integration of the office suite. He assumed as did most people that it will take mid-band connections ( up to 10 times faster than the dial up ) to run video. And there he is on video ( not very good video but video ). IDNS line prices are dropping.
NOW some new stuff that doesn't quite work yet:
http://www.iterated.com/index.html
Join the video revolution that's sweeping the World Wide Web. See for yourself who's Cool on the Web, Fractal Viewer
CoolFusion.
From Gif to FIF ? Fractal zooming and fractal focusing with the right click you can: as /images display, More detail, not less, as you zoom in Higher quality at lower file sizes Rotating, flipping, stretching and scaling Color palette control ...all on the Web!
RE:
The Subscription Service: Synergy Internet Bulletins:
For $10.00 a years find out what is important to know:
Before you upgrade or buy new software or hardware equipment to provide Internet Services, such as Http editors, office suites, etc.
This service is not hard ware orientated, but about what the machine will need to run.
Without the bias of PC magazines that sell the stuff and much faster.
What you need to know about the Internet and Intranets for new applications, marketing, services, education. I keep you informed in SHORT bulletins about once a week. ( More if a lot is happening - less if nothing is going on ) We keep track of lots of information and notify you of FYI of just what you need to know. Will save you many hours and pay back at least 10 times it's cost by preventing costly mistakes.
Copies of the SYNERGY JOURNAL sent by request: pepflaum@bellsouth.net SYNERGY-NET on http://www.wiredbrain.com/ Peter E. Pflaum Ph.D. , Headmaster GLOBAL_VILLAGE_SCHOOLHOUSE 225 Robinson Road, New Smyrna Beach, FL 32169-2176 (904) 428 7924 pepflaum@bellsouth.net http://www.wiredbrain.com/
The effort to stay "up-to-date" in the Internet business and the INTRA-net, office suite applications, connecting MS Office 96 to the Internet maybe of greater financial importance than the "pop" culture on the web. BUT..BUT.. it's a jungle out there. http://www.wiredbrain.comsynergymarket.htm
These new methods will have a immense impact on education and a lot of other things we do. In all case you need to look for yourself to get the feel of what this is all about. Take the tour.
The two developments that are important right now are Narrative Communications ( www.narrative.com ) and WEBTV ( www.webtv.net ).
It is moving so fast that the news programs can't keep up except maybe POINTCAST visual ( www.pointcast.com ) and Timecast ( www.timecast.com ) real audio services. That is the point. Yesterdays news is not good enough, people have to make choices every day and it gets harder and harder. What ever you think today will be different soon.
June 13, 1996 -- Microsoft INTRANET Strategy Day. ;DEMO of WHAT IS AN INTRANET?
Intranets are the integration of Internet paradigms and standards with a corporation's existing network, desktop and server infrastructure to create dramatically more effective business management systems. Microsoft's approach to intranet systems is based on: melding public and private networks into one, integrating Web page and link paradigms for all products, simplifying applications deployment and administration, and integrating all of the above into existing investments
The Internet will only work with a direct connection, not AoL, Prodigy or Compuserve. I enter MSN ( Microsoft Network ) from the Internet connection. On-line services is an example of a new business which is already out of date. I am writing for those that get E-mail only or have limited Web access. Otherwise I could just say go to http://www.wiredbrain.com/bill-g.htm">
Bill Gates says: the original unedited site
A few key points. Computer Software and hardware should be a very up beat industry.
The Internet is an amazing opportunity for great software. It will be intensely competitive but room for lots and lots of winners. If there's one thing you walk away from this conference with is that we're very hard core about the Internet. With all the positive connotations that implies. Finally, this is a communications revolution, we're swept up in it, during the day to day activity here, it's easy to forget what this can mean broadly.
What we want to do is have everything that comes up on the PC screen use the browser, the browser will be at the center of the system. What has been called the user, the central part of Windows that does dialogs, that will be our HTML engine. So, extended HTML will be everywhere. Forms packages, dialogs our help system won't be a separate exe now.
The editor that we have built into Windows will help you compose the HTML form that's the successor. By doing that, the browser is always in the working set. That 3 meg or so that's in the operating system, that will include the HTML rendering. We want to have the unification of interface take place not only for directories and pages which you've already seen, but also for messages, documents, the way you navigate around, find favorites, traverse links, there's no reason as you move to what have been different storage systems, different containers that you should see any difference there at all. That synthesis is very important for providing ease of use.
This is the important idea.
The central role of HTML because of the links.
The index page of http://www.wiredbrain.com/ is an example. Ask a question, give a reference, go to AltaVista and get information.
The power of the net is in Connections - Me to you, data to data, reference to reference.
The implications for office products, education, economics, communications are very extensive. It may take awhile for you to understand this ";new"; idea.
Part of the unique thing that Microsoft is doing is a strong level of integration into Windows.
The idea is when you're using local data, using remote data, it should be the same.
In 3/94 James Fallows wrote for the Atlantic Monthly, an article about TECHNOLOGY: NETWORKING. ( Link to Fallows Article )
In the past year ( 1994 ) millions of people have heard about the Internet, but few people outside academia or the computer industry have had a clear idea of what it is or how it works.
The Internet is, in effect, a way of combining computers all over the world into one big computer, which you seemingly control from your desk. When connected to the Internet, you can boldly prowl through computers in Singapore, Buenos Aires, and Seattle as if their contents resided on your own machine.
The gee whiz of the conference involved advances in ";interactivity,"; a dull-sounding concept that became vivid and real as products were demonstrated. ";Interactivity"; includes all means of exchanging information or issuing requests by computer--E-mail, electronic bulletin boards, office networks, computer shopping or banking systems, and so on.
The computer industry will have to battle the video-game industry, led by Sega and Nintendo, for control of the interactivity business: the game companies are about to release fast and powerful machines that can be connected to phone lines to transfer data and that produce sharper, more dramatic visual /images than normal computers do. But for the moment the highest hopes (and biggest doubts) about interactivity concern the Internet.
This year Bill Gates ( reference to HTML ) Building Internet Applications Professional Developers Conference San Francisco -- March 13, 1996 Video on
http://www.vdo.net/misc/keynote.html
Today's topic I think is even more exciting than any of those ( technical changes ) because today what we're talking about is something that's not just about the software industry, it's about the whole way the world communicates. Communication for business, communication for learning to socialize and entertain each other.
The Internet is its own distribution system. News about the Internet, new Internet software, it's all there in the blink of an eye. So, we now know what the seedcorn for electronic publishing and electronic communications is. It's all these wonderful protocols many of which have been around for over 20 years of what we're going to use as the foundation for this new world. Now, I've talked about the Internet as almost a gold rush.
There's really no other way to describe the kind of frenzy that's taking place. That's partly reflected in the rising and falling stock prices. I think Internet stocks have greater volatility than any category out there. Fundamentally, when you have a gold rush atmosphere, people suspend disbelief. If somebody says hey, I can do something on the Internet, no matter what it is people are fairly open minded they want to invest, start a new company, do an IPO.
These high levels of investment are very, very positive for getting this business going. In fact, as I've gone around the world over the last month I've gone to some unusual places I was in Poland, Argentina, all over and I wondered when I went to those countries, what the level of interest in this phenomena would be. Is it just confined to the United States and it's certainly not. If anything, those countries are in their governments or even more anxious about this because they worry about being left behind and so although, for the first 12 years of Microsoft's history, I was very proud of the fact that I never met with any politicians. Today as I go around the world, I have met with many heads of state who are just fascinated with the idea of what should they do to foster the Internet phenomenon in their country and the make sure that their human resources are able to reach out to world markets to use this amazing capability.
Well, a big question here is what is the opportunity for all of us. I put at the top of the list here volume.
The economics of the software business are very, very volume-dependent. In fact, if you look at the operating system business, if we only sold 30 or 40 million operating systems a year, we had lose money we couldn't afford the R and D money we spend. Because we sell 60 million it's a pretty fantastic business to be in. That's where volume comes in and really has an impact. We believe with the Internet the number of people using software in a very broad sense will go up very dramatically.
One of the great issues that's coming up is that because the Internet is so fantastic, it should be broadly available. So, kids in schools, people coming into libraries, urban or rural, richer or poorer, getting that acceptability will become a priority for society the same way making books available did which led to the library system and focus to literacy. That may take some time, particularly as you go around the world. That's another thing I think all of us if faster and be involved in this.
(here the VDO tape cuts off)
MR. KELLERAN: Thanks. I'm excited to have the opportunity to do this. Not because I'm presenting new technologies you haven't seen, a lot you've seen yesterday, but more because I think it's an interesting display how you can mix different technologies to come up with a meaningful solution. I work in our finance group at Microsoft and one of the big challenges is how do you deliver this vast amount of financial content to a really broad number of users. We have several thousand users that access our financial statements, that look at our revenue data, our expense data. How do you deliver that to them in a meaningful easy to navigate way.
What I'm going to show you today is a scenario if you're an executive at Microsoft how it might feel.
So, here I have an e-mail and what this is just a high-level summary of what's gone on. You'll see I have an embedded Excel sheet here.
I can get at a high level any way a really quick snapshot of that's going on. Now, if that's not enough for me, I have a link to our finance home page. I can get right to the supporting content.
Let's go ahead and go to the finance home page and that's going to bring up the browser. Now what's really interesting about this to me, is that this is really the first time we've been able to consolidate and centralize all of this information in one place. This is really in its infant stages right now. When you think about some of the things you've seen earlier this week, it's not a stretch of the imagination to think this will be a starting point for all of our finance content not just financial statements but what I call our dynamic contents. Our query tools, even an SAP client, you'll come to one place to get there as a finance person.
I wanted to say something specifically about what revenue looks like in Europe, let's say. I'll go to our finance statements here.
It's going to give me a couple of lists of reports. I'll pick our revenue summary reports and I'm going to go ahead and open that. This will just open an Excel document within the browser, the user doesn't know that's what it is, but you'll see that right here in the browser.
MR. GATES: Tells us it's confidential. Don't look too closely.
MR. KELLERAN: So here you'll notice we use Excel privity tables to present the data. I think it's probably one of the most under sold features but it really turns out to be a great mechanism for delivering this kind of data. One it's tightly integrated with ODBC so you can get data from ODBC data source and you can filter the data by dragging and dropping. You can sort through huge data sets quickly. I want I wanted to see something specifically about Europe, so I'm going to go dot drop down there and change it to Europe and now I have the information I want.
I've gone from a high-level financial statement to something more detailed. With some of the advances in the browser what this allows me to do is I can go back to where I started by using the navigation tools. I click on this, it's going to ask me if I want to save the changes, I don't want to. Now I'm back in the browser. Now, the really important thing about that for me is that as a user, my whole experience is the browser it's not these different applications popping up and me having to track those and where is which document.
My experience is really just navigating and comprehending the different content.
MR. GATES:
The one thing I like, I see the sale and I don't like them they have the e-mail of the people I can send an e-mail message. I find it a very powerful tool. Thanks a lot, Jeff. It's great to see that example.
- MR. GATES: I think the bottom line is that any company who's got PCs and has connected them together really would benefit immensely they would get a lot more leverage out of that huge investment by buying a little bit of extra software and coming up with the internal standards for how they want to present these pages some of the a lot of the promises about PCs that information would be at your fingertips is now coming true by blending the productivity technology with the Internet technology. So the INTRANET is the first stage for companies.
There they don't need to worry about bandwidth they don't need to really do anything but pull in new software. But the long-term potential is not only to share information inside the companies but to reach outside and that's this electronic merchandising and electronic commerce. Microsoft is working on a number of initiatives there, media server in fact we announced a large partnership with WalMart as a lead -- we asked Pierre De Vries to come out and show us an example what do we think shopping looked like a year from now.
MR. GATES:
So, it's happening and really nothing's going to hold it back. But it is interesting to look at the factors that prevent it from happening overnight. One of those is the whole question about the business model for content companies. Will advertisers be willing to pay lots, will people be willing to sign up on subscriptions.
There's a lot of great experimentation going on in this, but I think some people will hold back until they see some great success stories. As I mentioned, we're all having to think about the government now that we're in the communications era, and there are a number of issues here. Just in the United States, you've got the issue of strong encryption and what the government's trying to hold us back there. You have the issue of censorship, which is a hot one right now.
At the server level, integration is equally important. Part of the idea is the common alt between the client and the server so the code can move around, share the user interface. If an application that's running on a client wants to do printing, why should it just, instead of using client CPU cycles, tell it to run up there and do the print command and free up the local system. If it's the same operating system there's no development involved it's redistributing the task for what's appropriate in a particular case. So we take this approach of commonality, common object model and in particular the distributor COM that we're giving out here at this conference, we this that's a very powerful story. To administrators who are looking at the complexity of managing user names and all the different events that can come out of these systems, pulling that out together and letting it filter in a rich way that's an important step for these networks to grow as much as they need to without creating much overhead.
If you imagine today a medium size business wants to set up a server they have to think about so many things what's a relational database, what's a massaging package, what's a Web server what's an admin tool. All of those they have to buy separately, learn separately, install separately and understanding what their various roles are and how to work with those. It's way too complicated.
We have to have a server that's turn key, you buy it for your business and massaging customer database management, telephone integration, being able to public catalogs, all of that including electronic commerce support is simply built in and you don't go out and learn what's in side of all those things paragraph is software industry and Microsoft in particular has a lot of my gracious work to do with these pieces in order to make it turnkey for every business in the world to go out and buy a box and put out their products and be in business on the Web.
The breadth of opportunities here on the Internet is pretty incredible. I thought I would do a few demos today to show some of the incredible progress that's being made here.
MR. GATES: Now, let's take that concept of a meeting lobbyand consider how could that be used? Say you want to sit down and do a training session. Say you want to sit down and just socialize.
Say you want to get together to discuss a product. Today people use chat-type interfaces but they're not very visual you have to type in all the commands.
There's no reason it should have to be that way. One of the companies that's been tackling this challenge of creating great meeting spaces is on life. I'd like to ask Henry Nash to show us some of the progress that they've made in not only creating a visual way of getting together but bringing audio into the experience in a fantastic way. This is not just for entertainment it can be used for a lot of great business scenarios as well. Welcome Henry.
For Bill Gates ";
The Holy Grail"; , of the Internet is high capacity lines as in Stockholm, with optic fiber in Hong Kong or Singapore, where there is urban access to broad bands. This will provided for real interactive, integrated services and connections.
MR. NASH: What we have here is a 3-D multipoint audio VML browser. As we look around the space, it's like any other 3-D space we can move around, but the difference about this space is there are other people there. So, we're obviously imbedded as an active document inside the shell, but there's actually people out there connected on the Internet. To your point about socializing, let's see how we can Interact with them.
MR. GATES: So, designing a new space, will there be tools so people can do that as well?
DAVE (AVATAR): This is just a regular VRML space. You can use any VRML out there today. Avoiding the voice-overs and that VRML space can be looked at regular browser it's a community of people interacting.
MR. GATES: What kind of markets are you looking at here? I suppose a company can get together and do various sessions here.
MR. NASH: Especially for 14.4 and 24 K modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s. People on the road can dial in, entertainment we see here, going online and meeting people.
There are other calls arriving, so, there are a whole range of applications. I think it's not just about an individual technology it's fundamentally changing the way people community on the Internet.
Another big thing everybody is talking about now is the Intranet. Certainly, over the next couple of years it's opportunity for all of us. Companies have made huge investments in PCs and networks to let people run productivity and applications.
The investment they made there is 90 percent of what they need to do great information sharing. Some companies are there -- they have server names you know certain file names-- even in a technology company that's a little too hard for people to go out and find. So it's been very interesting as we've started to take Internet technology and use that internally at Microsoft to take the information that we've always had up on our servers but possibly in a way that's easier to get to our user has gone up by a factor of 2.
We've assumed here that you've got some kind of midband connection. You have ISDM or cable modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog ) and we're going to show a voice and video and interaction might fit into a new shopping experience.
I've been buying they know what I might be interested in what they've suggested to is I might look at some parkas because they remind me that I bought some thermal under ware in the fall and bought some ski boots and bindings. Here are some parkas. I can do the other side of 3-D. I can have the object there and I can look at it rather than being looked at. That's not what I'm into today so I'm going to keep browsing.
Here we get into skis. You'll see the advance ski is highlighting giving me a hinted of that may be the direction I want to go into.
I'm going to click on that VA80 ski and see what they tell me. I get all the various different skis but I heard about this Dynamite VA80 I'm going to click on that and find out more. Here we are on the page that venture works has put together for me on this ski. I can buy it immediately it's on sale but I want to get a little more information so I can check the reviews, I can check the package prices but I have already bought a lot of things I'm not going to do that today. I can in fact, personal fantasy design my own ski graphic and put it on my ski. What I'm going to do today is check the technical info. What I want to know is, is this the right kind of ski for me. And what's helping me do that is giving me the up to date information from the manufacturer.
AdventureWorks doesn't really as a provider of services doesn't want me to go away and never come back, so they're actually doing a search on Dynamite's site putting down the up to date information and preparing that and putting it into my frame so all the navigation tools that I'm used to using are there for me. I can look at the ski and see it's got a fiberglass construction and since we're talking about the future I particularly like number 2 which is the sidewalls.
I can do the kinds of things, I can simulate the things I do in the store which is flex the ski and see what it looks like from all sides. At this point, I have all the kind of information that I can get from AdventureWorks. That's not always going to be enough. You can delve down by not every piece of information is going to be there so you want to talk to a real person. What I'm going to show you now is a simulation of the kind of thing you can do a with midband connection with the quality of service. I can click on this service representative and have a video conversation.
They're counting on all of us to build rich libraries to expand all the different scenarios whether it's looking at a shopping cart or trying to plan a schedule, looking at maps, every data type that exists in the real world, we need to create great controls for and make those available to the amazing volume of authors that are going to be out there.
Certainly there's room for lots of new applications and there's room for new versions of existing applications. For us, that means going back and looking at everything like office and saying how can it be better in this environment. I'd also say that beyond the product business, there will be far more demand for people who understand the Internet and setting up software applications on it than will be available world wide for at least the next decade. We're sitting at the center point and companies who have that service aspect will be doing extremely well just like the product companies.
I want to make it clear how big we're making it in this area. Everything Microsoft's doing is tied in with the Internet. I talked about the client software and the very rapid revolution there.
The server software, lots of new additions there on an integrated business.
The family of tools is quite broad. Sometimes when people talk about pages, they're talking about something simple it's just text and sometimes they're talking about a custom-built application that might have millions of lines of code behind it. A wide variety of tools standard tools to C compilers. Any language people want to use we'll be there to support and any level of sophistication they want in the tool certainly we and third parties will have what's required there. We're also doing things to build Internet sites to bet on this content business. That's very similar to the bet we made with Windows on building spread sheets and word processors. Now the content business will always be 100 times more fragmented than say software we see a good opportunity, getting out there and being a pioneer and using this technology will help us to do better on the other pieces and some cases actually show the way.
Some of the big partnerships are the DreamWorks studio, building new interactive titles and taking the other work we do with media and bringing it into this world, both CD-ROM and Internet.
A partnership with NBC is a big one for us. It involves a 24-hour cable channel like CNN. But with a different twist and connected in with the Internet site. Those two will be referring to each other. All the programming is done for the cable channel and the Internet site is one overall strategy. We'll take our current CD-ROM titles and making it available through the Web.
They any of the articles you see there will be links off to all the different sites on the Internet where there's information about in a topic .
So the equivalent of applications here is doesn't, will be one of many, many companies that are doing our best in showing we believe in this by making huge investments. Some of which won't pay off for a long long time.
I think it's critical to keep in mind that everything is improving here. You can't think of the PC itself as static.
The PC we knew 2 years ago, I don't think any of us would be very satisfied with.
The pace of innovation in this is faster today than in the past. Whether it's the size of storage, it's going to be hard to buy a PC with less than a gig byte a year from now. Even a $900 PC. Processors, Intel and its competitors are doing, products like Pentium Pro. That's a huge step forward, we're certainly in partnership with Intel building compilers building extensions for MMX which is their multimedia instructions which I think is a great initiative by Intel. I believe that a lot of PCs will have smart card readers.
Part of the security problem will involve smart cards.
In the United States we won't hand them out to every person so it will have to be the credit card companies. In some countries it's becoming a standard thing that everybody in the country will V the hardware forehand writing has not been popular to date, but I still believe that's a wipe area. I think people coming to a meeting like this one will all be bringing a P c and be able to work on that in taking notes. Video and graphics, the PC, the room for that is pretty incredible here. Not only moving up to 3-D and high resolutions but moving up to a whole new way -- of course advances screen technology make a big difference in terms of what types of documents you're liable to view electronically as opposed to on paper.
The PC is getting better but it's nowhere it needs to be. Plug and play was a step in that direction, but the simply interactive PC effort that we're putting a lot into, goes a big step further in that. We think it's got to be easy to up great systems and application. Many companies have huge installed bases. If you go out and talk to those users and say why aren't you buying the new versions it's because of the complexity.
As we make it as easy as down loads architecture new browser to get the new application, to get the new operating system, upgrade rates will be dramatically higher.
The internet is always on , so you have communication where you don't have to think about boot time, application start up. That's got to be done because when you want to get information on the enter key - you don't want to wait. One particular point is the family strategy. NT as position is a high end super set of Windows 95
.
But in the last we vision, we didn't synchronize the shipment schedules.
There were some things in Windows 92 that weren't in Windows NT. With prices really starting to come down and Windows NT being bundled on Pentium systems, making this clear cut real sub set super set relationship over the next several years, whether it's 2, 3, 4 years, NT will become a huge part of that desktop mix. It's very important that we're delivering totally on that family strategy.
At the same time we're doing those improvements we're going to be doing a lot of innovative things.
Unified storage. This is the Holy Grail of Cairo. Advanced directory that deals not just with user objects but all types. User profiling we got a little glimpse of. I think this will be very detechnology-based on base key. You track what they're doing. That will allows they agent scenarios where you help the user, guide them show them new things they might be interested in. That allows them to work.
It's a fairly deep set of technologies that should be shared across all applications and therefore we're looking at that as a piece of the future operating system. Speech recognition, those aren't things that should be built into every application. If you go 10 years out, I would say that a lot of Web navigation, a very high percentage would be voice driven type navigation so we have to get into they clients system that is very rich and being able to do that with a lot of accuracy.
In paralegal parallel with this we will have more varieties hooked up. Here it's a little unclear what the critical mass would be.
It's important to remember that PC has a large installed base 200 million in active use and 60 million sold every year.
With that not stale at 60 million those numbers are overwhelming. That's where people focus their content. Another one of these design points to get there, it's tough, you have to get authorizing attention.
The kind of page you want to put up on TV is a little different than what you want on a high resolution screen. I think the TV flavor will come into this not as substitute for the PC but something else you can browse.
The PDA or wallet PC that's where we're making huge investments. We're actually taking a sub set of Windows, a portable sub set of Windows and building it into those devices.
There are people who even say that for a high resolution screen devices, there may be more variety. I agree with that, diskless PC for people who have high bandwidth connections. It's not going to work with 288 or most of these -- to do Web browsing.
The amount of code that you use not only as you run the browser but when you go to Shockwave or Acrobat or Real Audio or the other types out there, you're actually using more code when you're browsing the Internet on the large Windows applications today. You can't do it very well in o 4 megabyte system and even 8 megabytes is difficult in some systems. Web browsing is a very high end application.
All the things we're talk being making these pages richer with media and controls will simply further that. When we think about how will PC configurations changes. Will diskless PCs finally take off, will people choose to buy PCs at lower price points this is all relevant.
There have been people promoting $3 hundred and $800 machines. You can by a 486 D X 4 machines for $800.
The PC market is very competitive. I do believe over time, there will be more divergence in PC converge generals. Drive the price point instead of leaving it steady and diving the machine. When you think about these new configurations though, it's important to think out what you're leaving out. Are you leaving out the screen, or the key board or the mouse. Are you leaving out the processor.
There's certainly no magic in processors.
The cheapest in processors is where the volume is at any level of performance. That's why high performance things like Pentium and Pentium Pro are the most competitive. If you want to move down a notch, there's lots of people who have 486s that aren't finding much volume today.
So, the different elements that makeup a PC, if you were going to build a PC just to do browsing, you couldn't leave too much out of it. You probably wouldn't leave out sound, or the network connection.
There's a lots that can be done to make the operating system to make these kind of scenarios for the person who's primarily doing browsing simple the way it should be. So we have some work to do. But I would suggest that really the PC can be configured in ways to meet the scenarios. We're focused in making sure the software is there to do that right.
Yesterday was a very exciting day for many, many, many announcements.
To me the most important announcement yesterday was the one we made with America Online.
The reason for that is that in terms of promoting all of these great technologies that are being discussed here, we've got to get them into wide-spread use. We get up every morning and we think about browser share and we have a lot of creative ideas
The reality only 11 percent of household subscribe no any online or Internet anything and 89 percent are sitting on the sidelines saying why bother.
The opportunity is to partner with companies and figure out a way to reach that mainstream audience. It's not just partnering with big companies it's also about reaching out to lots of creative minds and entrepreneurs to figure out their innovation. I am pleased today to announce a new program an expansion of our green house efforts to include software developers. A year ago we launched a content green house and over the past we're he funded dozens of start ups trying to find innovation in this new medium and a few months ago we included software green house for AOL -- today we're supporting Internet developers. We want to talk to you to provide capital and commit our distribution and marketing to take their ideas to 2 million people. It's going to be the mix of funding and distribution that's going to unlock the power of this new medium. Sticking the out on the Internet and hopefully people will find it will not -- get plugged into large audiences such as we have in AOL.
We want to create a new medium to reach millions of new people and take the concept of these online services to a mainstream audience. We're look forward to working with technology partners such as Microsoft and hopefully many of you to make this new medium all it can be. Thank you.
MR. GATES: One key point that Steve CHASE made there is the growth opportunity in front of us. Although every day we're out there surfing most of the people aren't. It's a opportunity to bring people in and what we're doing with AOL will foster that in a major way. Thank you.
(Applause).
THE SPEAKER: We took several of questions and filtered through them last knight and tried to come up with questions of different categories that were most popular. One of the most popular questions was when will Microsoft have a majority browser market share.
MR. GATES: It's a good question. We don't -- as we've been in situations like this, whether it's word processing or spread sheet or file sharing servers, predicting specific dates hasn't been key to it. I do think, it is certainly our goal to achieve that we're going to be doing a lot of creative things on the market side and technical side. Anybody here who has technology that can make a browser better, let us know, we're in the market for anything that people have there because we see the evolution being very rapid. So we do expect our share, which is fairly low today to be very significant over the next year. Certainly to the point that people will be testing against us in exploiting what we've got and that will start a positive feed back. So, this is our -- the thing we think about all the time.
Q. Okay.
There were lots of questions about tools. For example, which tool should I use for site development? Should it be front page or Internet studio or Jakarta?
MR. GATES: Of course, when somebody comes in to use the site.
They won't know what tools were used. Foremost sites, it will be a variety of tools. Now managing this Web document type, making sure all your links are good, being able to preserve all the different versions letting people annotate things as they come along.
They really does require a very sophisticated set of tools. For site management, for authorizing different pages we have a lot of choices. All of those choices are built around single set of extensions we're doing to HTML in these active controls.
MR. GATES:
The mail client that we're going to build in to the Internet explorer and into the operating system won't be as rich as the client that comes with exchange. However, it will support bulletin boards with NTP and standard SMTP mail.
The client will be a super set of that. We will have a future of exchange the ability to connect through an arbitrary browser and use standard Internet authentication and being able to look at public folders.
You won't have to have the exchange client to be able to browse the folders. That's what we call exchange 4.1. For anyone using that you'll get most that for people using exchange server you'll get a richer client in terms of rich views on the public folders.
Copyright © 1996 Peter Pflaum
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