USE Wiredbrain pflaump
which are not
limited in content therefore is nonlinear and not fixed in time
or space.
Click on
Synergy Logo for default.htm our current working page - today's comments on the synergy Journal
www.multicrawl.com for synergy site: use wiredbrain and "any topic"
Example: The Wonders of the mind
http://www.spaceports.com/~sparkg/wavs/pinky/battle.wav
http://www.spaceports.com/~sparkg/
http://www.ferretsoft.com/netferret/images/downloads4.gif
Ferret finds
1500 Wiredbrain "pflaump" web pages
Make PORTALS your home page and use "wiredbrain" password "synergy" for set-up start pages.
MSN now does the best search
http://www.wiredbrain.com/NEXUM.htm
http://www.wiredbrain.com/nano.htm
http://www.wiredbrain.com/symbian.htm
http://www.wiredbrain.com/broadband.htm
High Speed Internet by Soliton
Individual development, organizational change, and In the computer industry, power comes not from the barrel of a gun but from the interface of a protocol.
We're moving toward a world of 1 billion connected computers sometime in the next decade," Grove said, saying it would represent some 20 percent of the world's population and a great opportunity" for the Pacific Rim. The theme of "wiredbrain" is that the "new world orders" are global connections between utility network computers.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=FBCE+FIBR+JDSU+MRVC+OPTC+OPTX+ORTL+POCI+SCMR&d=t
http://www.wiredbrain.com/nano.htm
http://www.wiredbrain.com/symbian.htm
http://www.wiredbrain.com/broadband.htm
High Speed Internet by Soliton
At the atomic and molecular level the connections can be open and creative rather than mechanical and determined. Uncertainty is a fundamental prerequisite of creativity and life itself.
A really clever computer working with uncertainly could work at this level and have some sort of consciousness. This would be an interesting invention of this century.
quantum dots (or single-electron transistors), quantum wells, quantum wires, spin transistors or arrays of all these devices.
low power quantum electronics, and high bandwidth photonics are of special interest, as are the demonstrations of space subsystems based on these technologies.
http://www.aero.org/conferences/micro-nano/
Candidate technologies receiving attention include various quantum functional devices, quantum computing, DNA computing, and molecular electronics explained for molecular diode switches, molecular transistors, and molecular logic gates.
This talk would provide an overview on one such candidate technology based on carbon and other nanotubes.
the novel Quantum Cascade Laser (QCL), which differs in design from traditional laser diodes.
This treatment burned out the protein shell and yielded two dimensional arrays of inorganic iron oxide dots on the Si wafer. The size and repeat distance of the dots were 6 and 12 nm, respectively, as measure by FE-SEM and AFM. As the diameter of the iron oxide dots is only 6 nm, this two imensional array of inorganic iron oxide dots has a potential to be used as quantum dots. Feasibility study of the application of this dot array to the structure of semiconductor memory is now in progress.
The NEXUM project:
http://www.wiredbrain.com/nexum.htm
A clear image:
The Stock Market Game
The new tech search
on hot companies
Technological search:
Being in two places at the same time - or going from here to there without passing through the space between. The nature of matter at this level is little energy spots rather than matter as we experience it, energy that change quantum states - transform from one state to another instantly.
"The history of computer technology has involved a sequence of changes from one type of physical realization to another --- from gears to relays to valves to transistors to integrated circuits and so on ...
On the atomic scale matter obeys the rules of quantum mechanics, which are quite different from the classical rules that determine the properties of conventional logic gates. So if computers are to become smaller in the future, new, quantum technology must replace or supplement what we have now. The point is, however, that quantum technology can offer much more than cramming more and more bits to silicon and multiplying the clock-speed of microprocessors. It can support entirely new kind of computation with qualitatively new algorithms based on quantum principles!
Since the Fallow’s article almost 10 years ago http://www.wiredbrain.com/documents/logos/fallow01.txt and fallow.txt I have a changing image of the communications in the age of technology. I have believed the free market would produce was rational, logical, technologically economic communications system which looked like this:
A receiver dish on your desk or outside on the wall of your house and office broadcasts and receives digital signals from a transmitters in the neighborhood ( up to 30 miles away - line of sight or maybe not ). This single connection would provide really high speed broadband - gigs per second - cable, telephone, Internet ( converged with TV and phone ). The big business will be service providers doing all the hard stuff ( software ) up line. You IP number would connect you to the world and the world to you where ever on what ever. Your domain name would replace phone numbers, and all the other ID problems with transactions in electric money as the device knows who you are ( thumb print, retina read ).
If you wanted to write a letter - using voice recognition from your cell phone to your NEXUM ( PC network device ) and e-mail it or print it ( using Bluetooth ) or any financial, business, personal transaction it would fly through the air from where-ever to where-ever.
The 100’s of millions of new connections in China and the rest of the world without wires would use the same broadband wireless system. The phone companies, cable companies, broadcast companies, cell phones, and computer hardware and software would all be in the IT communications business. It is happening - http://www.wiredbrain.com/NEXUM.htm and http://www.wiredbrain.com/symbian.htm
The billion people on the Internet we talked about a couple of years ago ( http://www.wiredbrain.com/packets.htm are almost here. The Internet as the links to phones, it is here now. The TV Internet connection is here @home and @work. What has not as been created is bandwidth and the NC ( NEXUM ) but they are just over the horizon, looking More and more like the playstation II and in the $ 350 range or comes with the $ 50 monthly user fees including long distance, cable channels picked off Satellites, Internet - Video user interface etc.
Sure people will use DSL ( fairly high speed phone on copper ) people will use two way cable, some people and business will use direct satellite or be on optic fiber, ( people still ride horses, use wagons, sail boats, and walk but cars and planes have most of the transport business ) BUT VOFDM, MMDS will replace most of these wired links by wireless, better, freer more competitive services. I can’t track down the low power radar (MIR) time division wideband line of sight transmitter and receivers but it is being used by the military and seems to have no limits. Optic fiber switches are in production to handle to backbone and local nodes.
The cost of communications content is dropping faster than hardware - more that twice as much at half the cost every 18 months by an order of magnitude ( 10 times more capacity for 1/10th as much cost ) ( Moore’s Law 10 X )
|
News Index -- Get the Whole Story |
|---|
|
Search: display articles containing of the search words |
Religion and theology
[1] Though I speak with the tongues of men and of angels, and have not love, I am become as sounding brass, or a tinkling cymbal.
Reminds me of the republican "Christian cops" debate.
Religion is one area of human experience, theology is another, Politics is one part of our lives, Ideology another, we tend to get them confused. Religion is an experience, theology is an idea; politics is about power, Ideology about beliefs.
We tend to get experience, feeling, passions confused with ideas, theories, thoughts and positions. Gestalt is a psychological practice that works to make the separation clear by the direct experience of feeling. To understand the difference is very useful in getting control of choices in life, government, education, health and science.
People and communities can’t work hard and progress to a place they don’t understand and have never experienced. They never have been on the mountain top and don’t care. You can’t create a great school if you never experience a great school - all is flat gray and dull. You can’t create a great company if there is no occurrence of greatness, you can’t create a great society without the image, the vision of greatness.
Politics is one thing, ideology is another.
Thoughts are about power. We use our minds to get ahead, influence others, get a sense or feeling of control. But without passion, desire, feeling there is a hollow or emptiness in pure knowledge. Pure passion is wayward or dangerous and we feel the need to control or feeling with reason. Thus an internal conflict between what we desire and what we do.
Theology is about power in the church as an institution - Rome or Henry VIII - by social control of feelings and people and institutions.
Ideology is about control of social power by law and police and military force. The God police of the Christian activists would control the bedrooms and doctors offices, The green Cops of the Mullahs, Neighbor watch committees of China, The KGB, CIA, FBI or DEA.
Religion is an experience of the holy ghost. You can have religious experience. You can know when someone is genuinely spiritual or just using God talk to get ahead or change the power balance. Commercial are expert in connecting feeling to product in order to create actions - sell the product. Commercial give the illusion of ideas but are pure feeling. Politics often does the same - the illusion of policy designed to connect feeling - positive and negative to people and parties in order to sell the product which is power, control, favors, winners and losers.
OUT of the box -
In order for people, institutions, and societies to advance to the next level - ( Blue, Red, yellow, brown, white, green, black and gold ) the difference between passion or feeling ( the colors are different levels of spiritual awareness ) and ideas that gain power, control, progress and win - they must directly experience the difference - since otherwise it’s an ideas about feeling not feeling, or an idea about religion not spiritual, or an idea about love not love, or an idea about health not health, or an idea about a more perfect society not an experience of a more perfect union.
People and communities can’t work hard and progress to a place they don’t understand and have never experienced. They never have been on the mountain top and don’t care. You can’t create a great school if you never experience a great school - all is flat gray and dull. You can’t create a great company if there is no occurrence of greatness, you can’t create a great society without the image, the vision of greatness.
We're
moving toward a world of 1 billion connected computers sometime in
the next decade," Grove said, saying it would represent some 20
percent of the world's population and a great opportunity" for
the Pacific Rim. The theme of "wiredbrain" is that the "new
world orders" are global connections between utility network
computers.
A participation exercise; write pflaump@wiredbrain.com
The sickness industry expands in the industrial west as the population continues to age, being un-healthy because of continuous problems with nutrition, pollution, stress, life styles "out of the biological grove" creating an expensive, bad tempered, older population in the former imperial states ( in chronological order Spain, France, England, Germany, United States, Japan and Russia) with increasing demands on limited resources.
A young connected population in the 4/5 th of the planet not in the technological main stream become increasing more restless. The center of global gravity, economic and political center sifts East from Madrid, Paris, Frankfort, New York, San Francisco, Tokyo, Taiwan, Hong Kong, to South Asia,
A global economy dependent on young, radical, semi-skilled and poorly paid labor in Asia supporting a aging and politically reactionary population in the Caucasians and advanced Asian nations creates tensions in the international community of nations.
A million fold increase in telecommunications, wireless, optic fiber, and computer integration links producers, consumers, political and intellectual regions across old national lines creating global economic and political forces outside traditional institutions reshaping the concepts of banking and investments, governments and corporations, churches and schools.
For Example:
Dialpad.com is the world's first free Java-based web-to-phone service. With Dialpad.com, you can make unlimited free phone calls to anybody in the US as long as the other party has a valid phone number. Dialpad.com works just like your own telephone. You can make phone calls to any phone number in the US. Furthermore, you don't need to manually download and install any software. You can make any call while your are browsing the Internet and it is FREE!
weirdbrain ' (wîrd) adj., weird·er, weird·est. Of, relating to, or suggestive of the preternatural or supernatural. Of a strikingly odd or unusual character; strange. Archaic. Of or relating to fate or the Fates. n.
Fate; destiny. One's assigned lot or fortune, especially when evil. Often Weird. Greek Mythology. Roman Mythology. One of the Fates. weird'ly adv. weird'ness n. SYNONYMS: weird, eerie, uncanny, unearthly. These adjectives refer to what is of a mysteriously strange, usually frightening nature. Weird may suggest the operation of supernatural influences, but it may also be applied to what is merely odd or unusual: “The person of the house gave a weird little laugh” (Charles Dickens). “There is a weird power in a spoken word” (Joseph Conrad). Something eerie inspires inexplicable fear or uneasiness that seems to result from a sinister influence: “At nightfall on the marshes, the thing was eerie and fantastic to behold” (Robert Louis Stevenson). Uncanny refers to what is unnatural and peculiarly unsettling: “The queer stumps . . . had uncanny shapes, as of monstrous creatures, whose eyes seemed to peer out at you” (John Galsworthy). Something unearthly seems so strange and unnatural as to come from or belong to another world: “He could hear the unearthly scream of some curlew piercing the din” (Henry Kingsley).
http://www.compaq.com/rcfoc/index.html Does the term "Network Computer" sound familiar...?
* Another Broadband Alternative -- More acronyms: LMDS and MMDS. These are technologies for deploying high speed Internet access using broadcast radio waves -- think of it as wireless cable or wireless DSL. A few areas, such as New York City and Silicon Valley, already have some limited implementations. But according to the Oct. 26 New York Times (http://www.nytimes.com/library/tech/yr/mo/biztech/ http://www.nytimes.com/library/tech/yr/mo/biztech/ articles/26internet-wireless.html), a new big-name consortium led by Cisco plans to give cable and DSL companies a run for their broadband money -- and they point out that their terrestrial radio-based MMDS (Multichannel Multipoint Distribution Service) solution doesn't require digging up any streets or placing equipment in the difficult-to-enter telephone company offices. (A tutorial on MMDS and related technologies is at http://www.webproforum.com/wire_broad/topic10.html http://www.webproforum.com/wire_broad/topic10.html ).
in both the client and server arenas
To access the Caldera Systems Web site, please bookmark http://www.calderasystems.com. Caldera Systems, Inc. is a Canopy Group holding under the Ray Noorda/Canopy Group Investment Company. Ray Noorda is the former CEO of Novell, Inc. (NASDAQ:NOVL)
Then once DOS was a "standard" and claimed open systems Microsoft quickly added more and more attachments that developers could use to save time. Common packages for user made new applications easier. They spent a great deal of time and effort recruiting and training and supporting 100’s of thousands of developers and system managers. Soon MS became to only game in town and then the evil empire attacked by replacing the programs ( or buying them ) for the most profitable applications - office suite. They almost wiped out WordPerfect, Corel, Novell, Lotus and took over a big hunk of IBM’s market share.
This is exactly what Linux ( being really open ) hopes to do. Since everyone else H-P, IBM, Oracle SUN, have a real interest in being Windows free - why not. Linux can run windows applications, will have a GUI ( graphic user interface ) and be free in it’s basic form. You can but a CD which will partition your hard drive and set up dual boot ( boot into windows or Linux ) and have programs that will work on either system. If it stays open ( which it will ) it could be a whole lot better in a years or two than windows. Windows has gotten hopeless blotted, patched, and over complex so it CRASHES. Since Linux is open to improvements from the community it should be better.
http://www.zdnet.com/pcweek/stories/news/0,4153,1015550,00.html
in products ranging from Windows terminals to
portable PADs (personal access devices).
Three kinds of PADs will emerge, Polacek said: a
CRT-based PAD, similar to Apple Computer Inc.'s
iMac; a
kitchen PAD that is connected to a wall for e-mail and Web browsing;
and a portable PAD, with
wireless communication.
"It's a given that a huge part of the market,
if not all of the market, is going to move towards this subsidized
model," said Mike Polacek, vice president of National
Semi's Internet Appliance Division in Santa Clara, Calif.
"We're
going more and more in that direction."
AOL is "working
with National Semiconductor on an appliance device [ based on Geode]
for access," said
Polacek.
The AOL device will likely be designed for
sending e-mail and browsing the Web. It will likely be distributed
at little or no cost to customers who sign up for AOL's online
service.
The
best buys on the Internet The best Telephone rates loan rates
Action
at a distance
How
fast is it? A FastAccess-equipped phone line and
computer enable speeds up to 50 times faster than conventional (28.8
Kbps) modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s (actual connection speeds may vary). FastAccess Service
allows information to travel at speeds up to 1.5 Mbps from the
provider to your computer (downstream), and up to 256 kbps from
your computer to the provider (upstream)*. The increased
capability allows you to access large amounts of data in
significantly less time.
AT&T is poised to offer digital television, telephone and high speed Internet service to at least a quarter of the country. But until now, it had planned on running fiber optic cables to clusters of 600 homes.
Packets The Salt Lake City test, which will begin in two to three weeks, will run fiber to neighborhoods of 50 to 75 homes - increasing by tenfold the capacity of the system and making connections clearer and more reliable.
Make
PORTALS your home
page and use "wiredbrain" password "synergy" for
set-up start pages.
MSN now does the best search
Use
the Codes to Wiredbrain
The
History of the Future:
Japan can not solve most of its basic economic problems.
Bank reform requires a fundamental shift from combines of firms centered around banks and holding each others shares to corporate capitalism within trading groups and well as between trading groups. This requires a change from the way Japan Inc. has worked since the beginnings of modernization. The government is a committee of high level administrators that work within the system and have very little control of the system.
There is no way to pay the costs of social security and medicare for those currently in the labor force.
The shift from income and payroll taxes to VAT ( consumption taxes ) will help, the nationalization of education and medicine could help. What would make a real difference is politically unlikely, what is politically possible is unlikely to do any good. The American political system can not take fundamental decisions in advance of crisis and slow to respond to important changes in the society.
Alan Greenspan, in his recent testimony to congress, repeated a lesson in basic economics. The economy welfare of any nation depends on three factors:
The skill and educational character of the labor force,
The capital stock the company and the society provides to make work productive
The ratio of fixed to variable costs of social overhead.
In a fully developed industrial society the costs of social security and health care are transferred to workers and the overhead of everything produced. As the population shifts from a pyramid to a column the social overhead costs become very high. The relative costs of work shifts to less developed, labor rich areas.
The long term investment in human and physical capital is the reason for increases in productivity - better trained people working smarter with better tools are the reasons for wealth or poverty. At the same time the cost of payroll taxes alone becomes higher than world wide base hourly wages.
How much each person, each hour’s labor, how much each unit of input produces in goods and services is directly related to the income from work and the return on investment. The machine that digs increases digging productivity and the wages of people with hand shovels or power equipment, airplanes increase travel productivity and the wages of wagon drivers or pilots, the word processor increases writing productivity, the Internet increases communication productivity. The cost per unit of computer power declines by half every 18 months ( Moore’s Law ) increases the whole of the economy’s efficiency.
The current period of growth with low inflation, where the labor force has growth by 300,000 a month, 4 million a year ( 3 % ) has been possible because of better trained women’s wide participation, more women are now in college than males and minority workers acting as a reserve along with moving jobs to lower costs areas of production and immigration.
The larger labor force has new and improved tools provided by the "information" revolution. Productivity in some areas of high technology have been very impressive. As we become more global, the labor force becomes global. Low skilled occupations move to low wage areas - China being the great labor pool.
Networks of product design, original equipment manufacture (OEM), distribution and marketing become more complex and integrated.
Three central concepts:
Punctuated
Equilibrium In Action!
Complex system are slow when adapting to
changing environments and subject to periods of rapid degeneration
and extinction.
Inter-connections:
Direct connection on complex networks. The number of connections
increases exponentially on a global basis. Almost everything connects
to almost everything else. What you see is that the most outstanding
feature of life's history is a constant domination by bacteria. Very
complex systems decrease rapidly in times of environmental
instability and sudden change.
The Internet Revolution:
The
future of established institution to control economic, social and
political events is very limited. The Political process everywhere,
national and international, can not keep pace with the rapid,
changing, complex, counter-intuitive, non-ideological, global policy
problems and issues. Among these issues are global warming,
international finance, trade, ethnic and class conflict, population,
education, health, welfare, pollution, warfare etc..
http://www.altavista.com/cgi-bin/query?pg=q&kl=XX&q=Disintermediation+middleman+intermediaries+intermediary&search=Search
The demographics of the industrial world project a rapid decline in the proportion of people in the labor force. The large differences between rich and poor countries is becoming complex with higher income pockets dispersed around the world. We need to focus on global growth rates and interdependencies and how they play out in any market for labor or products and services. A tight labor market for skilled computer labor creates service centers in Barbados, India, Ireland, and elsewhere.
While the average age in the developing world is in the teens, the average ratio of workers to retired persons is moving in the industrial world from 1:15 to 1:3 or even less as the average age goes over 35. The average years of retirement have grown from less than 5 to over 15. Required education and training keeps more young people from the labor market - highly skilled occupations such as medicine takes 12 years of higher education ( including specialties and internships ) so the productive years start in their 30s. If they retire after 30 years - at 62 ( 70 % of Social Security retirement is at 62 ) they have an average 2/3 of their adult life or 20 years as consumers without production being supported by earning from saving and/or income transfers.
There is no way to provide the wealth that can support large numbers of retired from a fewer number of workers even with better public policies, even with an historic increase in long term productivity. Individuals and firms can do well with increased saving and investment in even smarter systems and tools provided to a even more highly skilled work force.
A highly developed economy such as Japan has fewer way to maintain rapid growth. They are better educated, are very competitive and clever, they are cooperative and maintain a reasonable level of fairness and stability, but face the same basic structural problems that faces all developed nations. Their population is aging, productivity gains are harder and harder to come by because all the clear options have already been used. There is a increasing high wall on the left of any distribution of complex systems.
What has worked no longer is working very well, what was successful is now fading and dying. The new success is in the process of being born and growing up and also doesn't work very well yet.
For examples of
complex systems hitting a wall:
The U.S. constitutional system of
divided powers,
Japan Inc. of powers not divided enough,
old
and new international combines,
the USS-was, from too much power
to too little authority.
The power elite everywhere are in denial, they will soon become angry, in the slow realization of the death and dying of the "old ways". The English crown discovered, tradition doesn't cut it with new ways requiring new kinds of people and systems.
The nature of change only becomes real when the effects are painfully apparent. It's extraordinary rare for people or their institutions, to change behavior because it's necessary, rational or prudent. Behavior changes, if at all, only under coercion and crisis. The American political system, the Japanese economy - corporate administrative state - called Japan Inc., the Soviet Union - USS-was, IBM, GM, et al are all examples of where things have to get worse before they get better.
1997 - There is a financial crisis is South East Asia - a currency and market crisis caused by "bubble economies" and patterns of insider trading and special privileges called crony capitalism.
1998 - Japan, which is 2/3 of Asia's economy and China which is more than 1/2 of the remaining third, suffer from basic structural problems augment by the continuing crisis in Asia and Russia. Japan's basic problem is the same as the reasons for its success - an administrative state where the political process does not have control of the critical levers, tillers and maps. Control is in the hands of interlocking networks of corporations, banks, and bureaucrats that would have to change. The basic facts of modern Japanese life would have to be different, and real market capitalism given more space to operate.
1998 second half - The world markets are flooded with saving and low cost goods from Asia, speculation fed upon speculation, pushing the world into a global bubble, boom and bust cycles. The real economy declines, commodity prices decline, while asset prices increase. The U.S. political system is unable to provide leadership or respond in any rational way to a growing world crisis and growing trade deficit, Attention is distracted by meanness, pointless political squabbles about scandals, spoils, money and power without focus. The people who find they can not use the democratic process to gain satisfaction turn toward extreme emotional appeals or drop out.
1999 - The beginning of a Global Depression, counter-revolutionize Eastern Europe, extremism and nationalism in Japan, a closing of the European Union into a defensive block, chaos in the Balkans, spreading unrest in Mexico and Latin America.
The direction of
these forces is the fractured global society, made up of patterns of
smaller, more temporary organizations. The percentage of the economy
controlled by the top 500 firms continues to decline, the average
time firms stay on the list, the number of new entries increases and
on a global basis most are non-American and trans-national. Little
countries such as Finland, Israel, Singapore, Hong Kong, Netherlands,
have important international firms.
http://wmg.netcastnetwork.com/
Opening address:
George Gilder, President, Gilder Technology Group, Inc.;
Contributor, FORBES
ASAP
9:00 pm - 9:30 pm
Special address:
Steve Forbes, President & CEO, Forbes
Inc., Editor-in-Chief, FORBES Magazine
http://www.forbes.com/telecosm/
The four principles:
1.) The rule of law
2.) Sound currency
3.) Reasonable regulations and standards
4.) Rational taxes
The Information Economy:
1.) Rapid decline in
the cost of hardware and communications
2.) Rapid increase in
usage
3.) Increased speed of applications of new technical
standards and symbols of integrity
4.) Rapid change in
organizations
How do these tie together ?
1.) International law
for global commerce
2.) Global currencies and banking - credit
systems
3.) Global communications standards
4.) International
standards for taxes, business regulation
The "new world order" requires systems of international regulation of global commerce. A rule of law for communications - rapid systems for deployment of new technologies and reasonable conditions for enterprise.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF or Fund) and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD or World Bank) were both established at the United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference, held at Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, on July 1-22, 1944. The two were created to oversee stability in international monetary affairs and to facilitate the expansion of world trade. Membership in the World Bank requires membership in the IMF, and they are both specialized agencies of the United Nations. The World Bank was given domain over long-term financing for nations in need, while the IMF's mission was to monitor exchange rates, provide short-term financing for balance of payments adjustments, provide a forum for discussion about international monetary concerns, and give technical assistance to member countries. These functions are still generally true of both organizations, although the policies determining how they are carried out have been modified and amplified over time.
The Fund's legal authority is based on an international treaty called the Articles of Agreement (Articles or the Agreement) which came into force in December 1945. The first Article in the Agreement outlines the purposes of the Fund and, although the Articles have been amended three times in the course of the last 47 years prior to 1998, the first Article has never been altered.
http://www.cftech.com/BrainBank/FINANCE/IMFHistory.html
There needs to be a new expansion and agreement including standards of Free Trade The WTO is the only international body dealing with the rules of trade between nations. At its heart are the WTO agreements, the legal ground-rules for international commerce and for trade policy. The agreements have three main objectives: to help trade flow as freely as possible, to achieve further liberalization gradually through negotiation, and to set up an impartial means of settling disputes.
Like the human brain, the internet's packets system can reconfigure itself to work even after portions were destroyed. Using the noise-prone analog circuits of the time, it was impossible to build the necessary switches. Baran concluded that all the traffic would have to be digital. Moreover, the digital traffic would have to be broken into short message blocks now called packets," each containing its own routing information, like a DNA molecule, and able to replicate itself correctly whenever a transmission error occurred. With many additions and permutations, his original design is today termed the Internet, click here for the emerging history of the 21st century.
OFF THE WALL: Projections and forecasts:
1.) President Clinton will resign ( because he has "had-it") to become a University President sometime between the congressional elections in Nov. 1998 and the opening of congress in January 1999.
This establishes a new Constitution system of a six year Presidents with the next president having years of "on-the-job" training. It also allows for a selection process other than the crazy primary process. The new Vice-president will be black, female or both. The republicans will run Governor Thomson of Wisconsin with a female VP. They may win because
2.) A banking crisis
in China - a run on the banks because of the problems with state run
firms and the PLA industrial complex -
China's People's
Liberation Army is business dynamite that can explode !
The
People's Liberation Army (PLA) of China has evolved
into
the mainland's biggest conglomerate over the past
10
years and is spreading overseas
causes a real crash
before the Elections of 1999. A successful coup in Russia, and a
small war in the Middle East..
3.) So much for peace and
prosperity …. so
welcome
to
the
21st
century
MESSAGE
CENTER
This is your entry point to access different pages within your Virtual Office.
at http://www.wiredbrain.com/
|
Use the pull-down menu to go to major sections of The Wiredbrain Synergy Site |
|
Go to AltaVista Advanced Search
Since 3/15/1995 ( about 100 per day - 50 % of actual count )
FastCounter
by LinkExchange
Since other countries use the VAT, exports are taxed less ( exports don't pay VAT ) and imports are TAXED more, this can make a 20% difference. The cost of social overhead ( health, education, welfare, infrastructure ) is partly transfered from exports to imports. Also DO AWAY WITH THE IRS !
See
Packets.htm futures of technology:
The only way you do better than the average is having information beyond the average.
The core of communications is the base of the next revolution. Satellites connected to earth stations with super broadband wireless and cable connecting to "smart universal modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s" for network computers and universal communications utilities including TV.
The way the core of the computer - telecommunications market is going is at the Watch the keynote by MCI WorldCom’s
but not clear to most reporters and observers. This is one way to visualize what is happening.
There are a new products call Web-TV, the network computer, advanced note books with cell phone built in, and important advances in satellite communications, Wideband / Broadband, cable modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s and copper wire telephone services.
Imagine you have a black box which provides universal communications services: video telephone, Internet, fax, e-mail, cable TV, regular digital TV, CD music and games, had digital storage in Zig-a-bites, and wireless modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog ) in 10 Meg-bits per second or better. The question is who is the Service Provider ?
Imagine companies, schools, homes where instead of millions of PC the same black box provides all the applications, data banks, on-site and computer home workers at their work stations. The applications programs are downloaded with the data. A 10 Mb program takes 1 seconds to down load the functions being used at that moment. The program "runs" on the CPU of the black box, not time share terminal, but is fully integrated with the wide area network and the Internet. Who provides the software, systems management, data storage, and where is the server ? Watch the keynote by MCI WorldCom’s
/monday.html">Bill Gates keynote at Watch the keynote by MCI WorldCom’s
presentation of NT 5 + uses a NC ( Network Computer ) he po-poed last year. The next step is from LAN ( local networks ) to the internet. He talks PC but programs NC for all the reasons as a low cost "utility" device promoted by Larry Ellison of Oracle said last year.
It could be the satellite companies who own the high ground and the critical link in the whole system. There is the fight between Alcatel Alsthom 1/8ALSF.CN 3/8's Skybridge and Motorola's Celestri to get bands to develop and compete against Microsoft's Teledesic, which is backed by Boeing (BA.N). These become the first global telephone ( tele-communications ) company with direct services to companies, and local service providers. MCI-World Com -BT- ATT - DT -Sprint have to get into the Satellite Internet business FAST or be replaced. They are behind using analog rather than digital systems they should have made universal 20 years ago.
I don’t see much future for WIRE including cable after 2000, and the growth markets are in China, The USS -was, Eastern Europe, Latin America, which add up to double the number of users and four times the amount traffic every 18 months at half the cost per unit. "For technology, analysts said the trend within Asia could move towards the personal computer as a cheaper, commonly available product.
"Malaysia, Singapore and Hong Kong will probably lead the way as far as futuristic technology into the next millennium, but I wouldn't count out very strong IT investments in China," said Brian Kornegay, a senior personal computer analyst at IDC. "
The GREAT industrial companies of the next century will be tele-communications with a vast variety of "services", financial, travel, marketing of goods, retail sales, educational, all global all around us. This is the issue Nadar and the NOISE group are all about.
In all, the three plan to launch several hundred satellites in 2001 and 2002. The three projects, which would offer high-speed multi- media services via huge networks of satellites, require access to a large amount of radio frequency spectrum. These connections make possible the Network Computer the next generation of "smart" terminals that act as telephones, e-mail, PCs, business shops and services.
User wiredbrain password synergy
http://www.techweb.com/investor/feed/stockRes.cgi
dailystocks most excellent information
The report illustrates just how dominant the computer sector of the economy has become as technology has become increasingly advanced. .. For example, the study found that the average wages of those who provide high-tech services are, in Kazmierczak's words, "phenomenal," with high-tech employees earning 73 percent more, on average, than private-sector employees. Providers of software services in particular, he said, are finding current economic trends to be extremely favorable
Ericsson Hosting Internet & Wideband Wireless Conference
Two-Day San Francisco Event Includes Internet Partners Discussing Convergence Strategies Third-Generation Wideband Wireless Multimedia mobile systems. This technology, to debut in some world regions in the year 2000, will enable wireless phones/terminals to deliver not only voice, but also full-motion video, and data-intensive information such as real-time Internet access.
Once More From the TOP:
It's about time ! The main line press has caught-on to the power of the internet ? What wiredbrain and others ( mainly Netscape, Oracle, ( considered to be a source of wise counsel or prophetic opinions. b. An authoritative or wise statement or prediction ) IBM, SunMicrosystems and the NOISE group ) have been talking about since Netscape 1.0 and WINS connections - the virtual office and the Network Computer has now arrived in the PC world.
"The new concept ( only to you ) goes by a variety of names: instant Web office; virtual office; instant intranet; Web tone; Internet dial tone; and so on. The idea is to provide everything a user needs on a central server. Users can then access that server over the Internet with just a terminal and a phone line. Then they "rent" Internet and intranet applications for as little as $10 to $20 per person per month. (That's a fraction of the per-user cost of an in-house intranet.)"
and a box that cost 10 % of a PC work station ( $500 vs. $5,000 ) and doesn't crash, doesn't need systems managers, and doesn't require constant upgrades but does need bandwidth.
MONDAY, OCTOBER 27, 1997 Instant Intranets Just Stage One in Emerging Market Struggle
Jesse Berst, Editorial Director ZDNet AnchorDesk
What is clear but not said is this is the end of the Age of the PC. First the main frame, then the PC now the NC -
There is now a immense industry we can call IT “INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY”.
IT now represents the critical modern enterprise growing to be a quarter of all economic activity.
IT is a greater engine for growth than railroads in the 19th century, oil and chemical industries in the first half of this century. IT is equal to the auto industry, which reached 25 % in the 1950s. “IT” like the auto industry includes the hardware ( the computer or car), the infrastructure, (communications and networks or the roads) the energy ( software or oil ) the services, ( consultants and staff or Gas Stations ) and parts ( modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s, drives, or car radios ). IT includes the computers ( the car ), the roads ( the telecom business ), services ( software ) and the social educational infrastructure.
IT provides the web of life for modern enterprise - design, production, distribution, sales, of goods and services. IT is the growth industry and in labor market. There are millions of new jobs and additional people needed world wide.
Unlike the auto industry the IT business evolves quickly. New hardware computers and chips, new methods of communications, new applications evolve quickly. IT is quickly becoming one unified, highly complex living system on a global basis. The whole is more than the sum of the parts - synergy that comes from elaborate interactions.
there are critical “flash point” - global telcom systems based on satellites connect to earth stations that can use telephone lines including new high bandwidth technologies, optic fiber, wireless broadband, and cable connections. The high bandwidth connections use improved modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s to provide support for networks. These new networks provide what have been called telephones, television, personal computers, and something new - beyond what now are common utilities.
The common base system is the “browser”, which will provide all of the application in a Java type objects - in a Video User Interface (VUI) using chips that can handle digital TV and Digital Hard Drives for storage all as parts of the new super modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s.
IT is why the DOJ Microsoft case is important. What was called the “operation system” OS now becomes VUI, an interface between a “terminal” ( telephone, TV, and PC = NC ) and a communications media. The interface uses program “packets” as well as content “packets” the operational software is contained within the data. The difference between program and content no longer is significant. With bandwidth the “word processor” is attached to the files and comes as an instant updated package at the moment of use. This is Netscape’s, Oracle and others “vision” and the real challenge to Microsoft.
Ericsson Hosting Internet & Wideband Wireless Conference
Two-Day San Francisco Event Includes Internet Partners Discussing Convergence Strategies Third-Generation Wideband Wireless Multimedia mobile systems. This technology, to debut in some world regions in the year 2000, will enable wireless phones/terminals to deliver not only voice, but also full-motion video, and data-intensive information such as real-time Internet access.
NEW
YORK, Nov. 4 /PRNewswire/ -- Ericsson today announced that it will
hold a Convergence Conference Nov. 11-12, 1997, at the Clift Hotel in
San Francisco. Addressing Ericsson's Internet initiatives and
strategies, and its technology for Third-Generation digital
Wideband Wireless Multimedia systems, the conference features
executives from Ericsson and leading computer and Internet companies.
Berst Alert FRIDAY, OCTOBER 24, 1997 Bandwidth
Progress Report
In Europe it has been traditionally difficult to sell NEW type autos. People say they don’t want to buy a car, which they keep for an average of seven years, until the bugs have been worked out and has built a reputation for reliability. GM, IBM, and other big corporations often do not have the best product or price but the power of marketing, distribution, service, and habit. They depend on people’s unwillingness to be pioneers. Those on the frontier get shot with arrows. Now billions of dollars, huge personal fortunes, the rise and fall of great enterprises depend on complex technologies few understand. Technology has become a horse race, the fastest win rather than a dog or pony show where the judges reflect conventional values, where a horse of a different color is unlikely to win. In the now systems of knowledge, a 14 year old New Zealand boy’s solution to the millennium bug is just as much in the race as the show horses from the most established stables.
List
SMART COMPANIES of companies the who's who of telecommunications
Click
for Portfolio User "wiredbrain" password "synergy"
SEE
STOCKS GO INTO ORBIT The economics profession, the
federal reserve, national planners, and the stock market is just
learning to deal with rapid change in economic behavior where ROI in
many industries, can not be mainly based on past results. Microsoft
Internet Explorer 4.0 and Netscape are working on a Java
Machine that will be the core of most new computer applications.
Suites of application either on the "video" hard drive or
on a systems server will run on these virtual machines, so will
autos, and all kinds of "real" machines. This replaces
Windows, Dos or other OS and MS knows it. The communications
industry, in fact all of Information Technology (IT) will provide
applications, voice, video, data and word processing on the internet,
intranets, extranets, are all built on this CORE system which
provides on demand applications. This is the BIG picture. This is the
central theme. This is the main thing. Do you "get it" ?
Review
the technology with the central role of core systems clearly in
mind.
Lewis Mumford describes the bells of the medieval village. The ringing of the bells marked the hours in an almost endless and timeless regularity. People were born and died within the sound of the bells. The world was regular, small, stable, fixed and regulated by unchanging rules. This small space was only an anteroom into the mystic heavens. The bells themselves started to change the world into which they gave their sound. New technology began to change the world view.
From the clock-works the sense of time and space helped mariners figure out where they were. The craftsmen of the clocks, could make careful measurements of space, and time; they could fine tune their tools, and then produce telescopes attached to theodolites; An optical instrument consisting of a small mounted telescope rotatable in horizontal and vertical planes, used to measure angles in surveying, meteorology, and sextons for navigation.
If you think you can just head out to find New Worlds by using "dead reckoning" to figure your distance from where you started, and get your position on planet earth from a compass and the polar star, you will get seriously lost. You really can't tell where you are, and the longer you travel the more lost you become. If there are reefs, and there always will be reefs, no matter how sharp a look-out you are keeping, you will experience the rapid change from the great boredom of sailing to moments of terror. In new lands and unknown waters, by the time there are good charts, all the interesting treasure has been found and taken by someone else. Blue water sailing or business, is not tame and safe. It's a risk that must be taken, carefully.
With a compass and a good clock, then you can know the exact time at Greenwich, and by using the angle of the sun or stars you can calculate your position on the round earth in relationship to the prime meridian in London. The noon sun moves around the earth in 24 hours or 1440 minutes or 86,400 seconds. About every three seconds the sun moves a nautical mile to a new position overhead, so if you know the time and the exact moment when the sun is at its zenith, you can figure out where you are on the big globe. This is called the noon sight, when it is so many seconds west of noon at Greenwich it is so many nautical miles from the prime meridian. The angle of the sun from the horizon, at that moment, gives your latitude ( the higher the Sun is at the noon sight, on that day of the year, in the Northern hemisphere of the earth, the more South you are ). Navigators have to know the earth is round and how the heavens moves. The sea captains and master builders, freemasons had to have a measure of stable truth and sound measurement.
I have been days in open water depending on these rough calculations to chart my course. Now people have GPS. Ancient sailors of the Pacific could be guided by the stars across vast open water. Knowing where you are is a sixth sense and art form. Birds have a sense of the magnetic field.
Social-psychological existence depends on time and space. Business and market strategies depend on your position in social time and space. The most profound tools of navigation are directional and the relationship in space-time from the prime meridian. Direction is the sense of mission, goals and tasks, the role of traditional management, dead reckoning, in setting and keeping to course. Management, steering, is a necessary but NOT sufficient to the understanding global positioning, leadership requires the greater skills of navigation.
The understanding of your relationship and charting your course with knowledge of the prime meridian requires a much wider spatial and temporal viewpoint. It requires more advanced instruments than just a compass and the north star. The helmsman, "government" means a helmsman, holds to a course set by the navigator. It's a critical but limited function of all life. Without a sense of position in relationship with the prime meridian many a proud ship will wander in the shoals and crash upon the rocks.
user pflaump password synergy
"No technology promises to affect our world more profoundly than the rapid sweep of digital technology. Every sector of our economy - manufacturing and services, transportation, health care, education, and government - is being transformed by the power of information technologies to create new products and services and new ways to communicate, resulting in significant improvements in productivity and knowledge sharing. "
Physical
Astronomy has discussed the space time continuum for 50 years ( since
the Special Theory of Relativity ) but very few of us can grasp the
idea of curved space and time. Time warps, however, a common
experience.
Israel, for example, is in a vortex of space time where a few thousand years of social attitudes, from ancient tribes to post modern, swirl in conflicts projected into a small space. Washington D. C. can be seen as partly stuck in the 18th century, partly in the 19th century industrial age, partly in the new deal, and partly in the modern tele-communications age from the 1960’s. In parts of Africa, if people could return after a thousand years in the past, they would not find life much changed. In other places, our grandfathers would find the current world as strangers in a strange land. Queen Elizabeth II, was born into a royal world so different, that cultural shock is a way of life to her and her family. Of course they don't "get it" as new expectation and demands arise from mass publics.
The penetration of digital technology into the home and the workplace is the reason Telecom has decided to invest such substantial sums in this project and related activities. The company, along with many other leading communications agencies throughout the world, decided, correctly, some time ago that the future was digital. What they don't know for definite is how ordinary people will relate to these changes, what they will adopt and adapt to, and what they will reject. Will online banking become the norm with the personal computer in the home replacing the intimacy of the local branch office or post office? Will the weekly shopping take place on the Web? And, most important, will every individual see value or even care to understand the relative complexities this new world will deliver. The future comes at a price; Telecom will use the information gleaned from this major experiment to work out just what people are prepared to pay.
The organisers placed great store on the community aspects of the different applications. They were not interested in towns which had not mobilised a cross-section of local organisations, schools, services and industries. They sought a town committed to the project, from the first to the last person. The location of the applicants was also clearly important. Of the shortlisted towns, only Kilkenny could be considered close to Dublin and its relatively advanced communications infrastructure. The aim was to take a piece of rural Ireland and give it a digital facelift, in the process opening a virtual window to the world.
For Ennis, this decision is a wonderful boost. Its young and old now face a challenge which will be the envy of many other towns. Its cutting edge technological infrastructure should entice both home and foreign industrialists, creating an attractive environment in which local employment should prosper. The judges, while lavish in their praise of all the shortlisted towns, believed that the Co Clare town's practical plans and vision for the future set it apart. But the hard work now begins of justifying the title of Information Age Town.
These letters from the future are notes from one of the many space-time locations that exist in reality someplace, and projections of other locations that do not yet exist. There is no single future as there is no single past. The past and the future do not exist in whatever current space time place you now occupy but are projections, myths, images seen darkly through a hall of mirrors - unknown and unknowable. What we think about the past, our current fashions in history, does shape our behavior and in the same way our expectations for the future shape the present. Future studies is not very different in style and method from history, if it is based on first hand reports from those that are already there. There are people and firms living in our future, in space time beyond where we now believe ourselves to exist. Time space does bend and move at different speeds depending on force fields around us. "They'll Be Crowding The Skies."
1,200 satellites from Motorola's Iridium, Loral-Qualcomm's Globalstar and Teledesic, among other LEO projects-accumulates in the skies. Ultimately, from this point of view, you might imagine the clutter of LEOs eclipsing the geostationary orbit itself, the so-called Clarke belt, some 21,000 miles farther out. Named after science-fiction guru Arthur C. Clarke, the geostationary orbit is the girdle and firmament of the Hughes empire.
The history of human communities is a unstable but consistent progression from smaller and provincial toward larger and more universal.
From family groups to clans, tribes, nations, empires, and inter-national grouping and organizations. Time get faster, distance get bigger, events and change speed up.
From local spirits and myths of creation and a flat earth under a dome of the sky to: A place where the earth turns, the Sun Stands Still, and the ideas of basic astronomy promoted in the 16th and 17th centuries are common knowledge.
The 18th century saw the separation of physical reality and science from traditional faiths for the ruling classes but not for the mass public. Modern humans become a part of natural history and evolution for the intellectuals but not the bible belt. Objective science was firmly established in the 19th century along with industrial urban society but the old styles remain. The "church" really likes the 13th century, the reform "church" the 17th.
In our lifetime the solid earth has moved under our feet as great plates move continents, mountains rise and fall.
In our century, quanta theory allows material to go from here to there without passing through the space between the objects. Mass and energy become parts of general fields. Forces in Time-Space become curved and black holes become the big bangs of more universes out of our sight in a huge cosmos.
Life forms have been found miles deep in the oceans and within the earth, organic life forms live without light, water or air. Organic microorganisms and genetic materials most likely exist widely in space. Life is prevalent cosmically and not special to our little corner of reality. The "real" world as we experience it is only a special case, so our sense of space and time is very provincial and solid matter is not what we think. These ideas are now getting into 8th grade text books.
The expansion of scientific thought has left the social, political and religious paradigms out of sink. Industrial, management, educational and psychological models which guide collective behavior no longer fit the reality of events.
CASES:
An industrial school system and mega-Universities can no longer
match the information transfer technology and learning skills that
produce wealth and power. The role of education has declined as
social gate keepers, with the role of a many social institutions
designed to maintain the class status quo. It is getting harder for
the ruling class to pass on family advantages to their children.
Status Universities who take youth of promise and socialize then into
the ways and rules of the ruling class now really need to make
stronger connections between thinking and doing. Social Class
traditions have been weakened by new systems of mass media and
continuous learning.
A small business, chamber of commerce, labor union model of political parties doesn't relate to the changes in real power or the popular life experience and concerns. The 18th century "balance of power" constitutional structure and foreign policy doesn't work in the global economy.
The modern corporation is under great pressure as the "model" organization for economic life. The paradigm is shifting from industrial to biological, from mechanical to cybernetic information systems, from bureaucratic to dynamic small groups and task forces, from central command and control to clusters and cloud chambers, from military campaigns to expeditions in unknown territories. Management is moving from systems analysis to images of wholes and probes of successive hypothesis and the analog of order in chaos.
NOT EASY.
The future has arrived, it just arrives in different places at different times: * Digital Bruce Claflin, Sr. VP & GM, Worldwide Sales & Operations * EMC Michael Ruettgers, President & CEO * HP Bill Russell, VP of Enterprise Servers Group * Sequent Casey Powell, Chairman & CEO * Sun Scott McNealy, President & CEO * Oracle Lawrence J. Ellison, Chairman & CEO, Ray Lane, President & COO In addition, there will be more than 500 in-depth technical and training sessions, as well as an exhibit hall with more than 300 strategic Oracle partners and solution providers.
Donald Tapscott, author of the books Paradigm Shift, The Digital Economy and the forthcoming Growing Up Digital, will provide the opening keynote for the conference. The result today is the new world disorder, unfolding at warp velocity. Previously unimagined changes taking place in the world and their implications for our professional and personal lives are relentless. There is an openness and a volatility that seem rich with opportunity and fraught with danger for your country, for your organization, for you, and for humanity. ..
The overall structure of the economy is changing as well. A new industrial sector is emerging from the convergence among computing (computers, software, services), communications (telephony, cable, satellite, wireless), and content (entertainment, publishing, information providers). This structure is depicted in Figure 1.1. This interactive multimedia industry is narrowly defined as 10% of the U.S. GDP. By the end of 1996, this industry will be an almost $1 trillion industry-44% computing, 28% communications, and 28% content. By 2005, the industry will have grown to $1.47 trillion.
Now meeting -International TeleCommunications Union - parts of the
developing world communications are growing 30% a month
and common misconceptions: the division between conventional wisdom and reality.
In any case, there is something wrong with making the survival of the fittest the guiding principle of a civilized society. This social Darwinism is based on an outmoded theory of evolution just as the equilibrium theory in economics is based on Newtonian physics. The principle which guides the evolution of the species is mutation, and mutation works in a much more sophisticated way. The species and their environment are interactive, and one species serves as part of the environment for the other species. There is a two-way feedback mechanism, similar to reflexivity in history, only in history the mechanism is driven not by mutation but by misconceptions.
George Soros has make billions when the common knowledge, conventional wisdom is out of sink with reality. His central point is that "objective reality" is separate from the ideas that describe or explain what is being observed. Whatever our ideas about "science" the physical reality doesn't change. Our "uncertainty" or viewpoint on physical quantum doesn't change the phenomena itself.
On the other hand, public and expert perceptions of human activities changes the nature of the activities themselves. Our beliefs change our behavior and common social habits and ideas change who we are and what we do. This is a reflective feedback loop between perceptions and reality. Political theory, religious faiths, economic assumptions, mass media chatter, advertising, hype, hope, needs, wants, passions or truths and lies all make social reality "unknowable" and social action can not be based on just objective reality and the facts.
Now the social reality of the human population on planet earth is going through a basic mutation, a major change in form, new forms of business evolution; where common perceptions and conventional wisdom is often disconnected from the situation on the ground. The mass emotion on the death of Princess Diana, is unexplainable, so are stock markets, the impacts of technology, political reform, capitalism in China, People's Liberation Army and the major events of our lives. There can be balanced judgments and clever analysis but nothing close to certain knowledge.
1Cor.13
[1] Though I speak with the tongues of men and of angels, and have not love, I am become as sounding brass, or a tinkling cymbal. [2] And though I have the gift of prophecy, and understand all mysteries, and all knowledge; and though I have all faith, so that I could remove mountains, and have not love, I am nothing. [3] And though I bestow all my goods to feed the poor, and though I give my body to be burned, and have not love, it profiteth me nothing. [4] love suffereth long, and is kind; love envieth not; love vaunteth not itself, is not puffed up, [5] Doth not behave itself unseemly, seeketh not her own, is not easily provoked, thinketh no evil; [6] Rejoiceth not in iniquity, but rejoiceth in the truth; [7] Beareth all things, believeth all things, hopeth all things, endureth all things. [8] love never faileth: but whether there be prophecies, they shall fail; whether there be tongues, they shall cease; whether there be knowledge, it shall vanish away. [9] For we know in part, and we prophesy in part. [10] But when that which is perfect is come, then that which is in part shall be done away. [11] When I was a child, I spake as a child, I understood as a child, I thought as a child: but when I became a man, I put away childish things. [12] For now we see through a glass, darkly; but then face to face: now I know in part; but then shall I know even as also I am known. [13] And now abideth faith, hope, love, these three; but the greatest of these is love.
The Catch-on Factor:
One of the most important factors in human history is the "catch-on" factor. Modern humans spread rather quickly over the planet 30,000 years ago, wiping out earlier human types and a number of large animal species because of their ability to communicate and learn. New tools and methods could spread from group to group. The development of agriculture and domestic animals created a "surplus" which we call "civilization", technical specialists, writing, political structures, bureaucrats, priests, kings and professional well armed and mobile military.
The "Fates of Human Societies" ( Jared Diamond's Guns, Germs, and Steel ) including business organizations, nations and regions depend on the applications of a general theory of causation. A suitable environment with a variety of plants and animals gives the opportunity to create wealth and large, dense, sedentary societies with division of labor equals TECHNOLOGY - weapons, transportation, political organization, science, writing, education, = PROGRESS. China and Europe offered large areas where many groups in conflict and exchange forced change and learning. Those groups that learned and changed survived, those that were slow were conquered by the better armed.
- and/or human social ecology - What and how people do in their environment - Why Spain took Mexico and not the other way around - The answer is food production which creates support for "civilization" kings, priests, scribes, bureaucrats, cannon and the military. Dense populations who live around animals have a lot of diseases - germs spread faster than armies and did in the native populations and causes havoc before the military conquest. So grains, guns and germs gave the Western Europeans a temporary advantage.
Now large cooperative, stable, educated, well behaved, societies have natural advantages over the more war-like Europeans and New World cowboy economies. The future maybe with China and the far east - the last half millennium was European the next millennium will be a return to the cultural advantages of Asia - from Genus Kahn to the People's Liberation Armycomputer networks. The science of history is very primitive - of course - if we understood better that would change behavior and history - the unstable feedback loops can not be fixed in physical models.
4.)
better technology ( the result of one, two and three ) plus
5.)
police and/or military power ( law and order )
6.) large and
productive territories by way of the the growth of US as more and
more others are included as US and less defense from them as less and
less outsiders are THEM. Good Religion and Politics should allows for
more inclusion less exclusion. All religion is not good, all values
are not right or useful, all politics is not bad, all education is
not useful, all business is not greedy, all women, blacks, Jews, et
al is not anything. Prejudice is not a rational guide to social or
personal wisdom.
The inclusion of more and more people and their differences allows for innovations, freedom of expression, democracy, freedom and
7.) integration of smaller groups into larger wholes -
The Politically correct visions of left and right often miss the fundamentals of social history and science. The right forgets the critical role of the "whole" and the left the requirements for standards and clear returns on investments, where cost and benefits depend on individual achievement motivation to go faster, further and higher. Such motivation is best done in "collectives" families, groups, packs, tribes, schools, factories, political parties, churches, and other human life forms.
The last few centuries has seen a rapid growth of technology as "critical mass" is generated more quickly and information is transferred through better organized channels. Railroads took 75 years to go from experimental to universal, auto's 50 years, television 25 years, and now computers and satellites have moved social learning into "dog years" where two months is a "year".
The social physical ecology that promotes or forms barriers to "progress" are a.) size b.) variety c.) competition d.) social learning - political stability and provision of infrastructure.
The United States, Europe's community, China India and Russia all have the size. Europe and India benefits from variety. The multi-cultural US can get quite provincial and "know-nothing". The decline of socialism has added some competition in Russia and China and India, America is the most open and competitive society. The provisions of social learning and infrastructure is best in Europe with America political institution badly out of date and ineffective - 15,000 school boards, divided government, politics by the individual campaigner's money and tactics ( not party or policy ). People's Liberation Army
TINY
HAS PCS TO
REPLACE TV, PHONE AND FAX UK personal
computer manufacturer Tiny Computers Ltd believes the television set
will die out as a result of its new range of personal computers. The
machines, called the Home Entertainment System combines the
functionality of a computer, games consul, fax, telephone,
answerphone, compact disk player and a television. Running on an
Intel Corp 233MHz Pentium II processor, the machine has a 4.3Gb hard
drive, and will sell for around $1,700. However, by the spring,
Rupert Murdoch's News Corp will be entering into UK digital
television, with British Interactive Broadcasting Ltd, a joint
venture 32.5% owned by Murdoch's UK satellite television company
British Sky Broadcasting Plc, and 32.5% by British Telecom, 20% by
Midland Bank Plc, and 10% by Matsuishita Electric Ltd. The set-top
boxes sold at launch will be subsidized to a price of 200 pounds, and
include a modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog ) and a bundled internet service, which will be the
cheapest way for consumers to get on the internet. British
Interactive Broadcasting is cagey about who its Internet service
provider is going to be, saying only that it will offer a consumer
orientated service. Of course, should British Interactive
Broadcasting pick Springboard as its internet service provider, and
if it manages to sell the 1 million set top boxes it anticipates,
LineOne would become the largest UK internet provider extremely
quickly.
This is your brain (click image)
We are in a period of tremendous change. A wireless jungle where old technologies must evolve to survive and where proponents of new technologies are jockeying for dominance. It is a dangerous and exciting time where existing business models can crumble and more nimble, innovative companies can usurp established institutions. Uncovering these developments, analyzing their effects and recommending solutions is what this Web site (and our other services) is all about.
Autonomy's Founder and Managing Director Dr Mike Lynch claims that the i3 Agentware technology is superior to agent products from other agent specialists such as Verity Inc, and General Magic Inc. The major difference is the use of context comparison rather than plain text comparison which the agent software achieves by using pattern recognition with artificial intelligence and neural network technology. This enables the delivery truly personalized services, which can be left to roam LineOne and the internet, searching for items, which either alerts or electronic mails items to the user when logged off the service. Autonomy has also developed an agent that delivers personalised advertising to the consumer, and builds up an ongoing profile of the user, so it can feed them increasingly pertinent information. Mike Lynch claims that LineOne in its new form is the showcase for Autonomy's agent systems.
From the major nodes optic fiber or microwave links to local transfer stations.
From the transfer stations - ASDL wires to business and some personal housing also has direct two way Cable, or wireless linkages
Heavy Users station their servers in transfer stations where they are subject to regular backup and maintained. IT technocratics can manage the server from remote locations just as well as on station.
Users have a utility modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog ) for T.V. cable, wireless phone and pagers, fax, and WWW connections.
Attached to the universal modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog ) can be regular PC's, Network PC's, Network Computers, terminals, Web on TV, Game boards, with or flash memory, DVD-RAM ( digital Video drives )
Users can have zig-a-bytes of programs or use services from their local nodes - there will be competition in all these area - communications carriers, earth stations, special high speed private networks, with several lanes of traffic on the I-way. ( Information Super Highway )
Low
cost common carriers, premium services, and high security private
networks, using different codes and segments of the bandwidth
(new
developments). PHILIPS LAUNCHES 'PC INTO TV' HOME
ENTERTAINMENT BOXES Philips Electronics NV
announced two digital home entertainment devices aimed at integrating
personal computer capabilities into televisionsat the IFA show in
Berlin. The DVX8000 is a digital home cinema device aimed at the US
market. It offers high-end video capabilities including a television
tuner, video line doubler, DVD player for DVD-Movies, DVD-ROM, CD-ROM
and CD Audio. Audio capabilities include an FM tuner and a
Marantz-designed pre-amplifier. A wireless keyboard and a Marantz
RC2000 remote control are also included. Internet browsing and
plug-ins are also provided for on-line access. Personal computer
functionality is based on a 233MHz Intel Pentium MMX processor, a
Trident 3D graphics accelerator, 4Mb of video memory and 32Mb of RAM.
It will be available in the US in October for $5,000 and versions
suitable for selected European countries will be out by the middle of
1998.
The Utility Communicator is being designed by Intel, The
network is already on line. Almost anything you can think of, is
under development somewhere- See packets.htm
for examples.
IT For example: The demand for skilled foreign IT people : Salary increase 17 % per year,
. The
Information Technology Association of America, which represents
hundreds of companies from Intel and Microsoft to consultants and
recruiters, estimates there are already 190,000 high tech positions
standing vacant in American IT and non-IT companies. "This can
be considered a conservative estimate of the gap between
companies&rsquo growth needs and the current availability of IT
workers," says the ITAA study, "Help Wanted: The IT
Workforce
A powerful coalition of American IT companies say
these highly educated immigrants are a critical part of solving a
severe personnel shortage that is a drag on the U.S. industry. They
warn that they may be forced to take their production outside the
country if they can&rsquot hire more people from abroad.
IEEE-USA Legal Immigration Policy Issue ... URL: http://www.ieee.org/usab/DOCUMENTS/FORUM/ISSUES/immigration.html
Summary: In 1990, partly in response to claims that the nation faced serious shortages of engineers and scientists, Congress authorized substantial increases in employment-based immigration to the United States. Engineering unemployment increased from 2.1% in 1990 to an all time high of 4.1% in 1993 when 73,000 engineers were out of work. More Like This: Click here to perform a search for documents like this one.
In the near future ( a few years ) most homes and offices will have a [Greek têle-, from têle, far off.] Window =[Middle English, from Old Norse vindauga : vindr, air, wind + auga, eye.][Middle English communen, from Old French communier (from Latin commúnicâre). See COMMUNICATE and from Old French communer, to share (from commun, common). See COMMON.]
The spirit in the world "deus ex machina",
THE TELEcommuner
TELEcommuner boxes will have a screen that will be used all the time as the yellow pages and as a personal address book. The telecommuner will be common to do remote shopping, view web pages, send e-mail, or fax ( with a plug in printer scanner ) THE TELEcommuner is the base for a cordless phone and radio. THE TELE-caster (news) is a plug-in to the universal modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog ) from the webTV or DSB ( Direct Satellite Broadcast ) and wired DSL or wireless connections. Billions of THE TELEcommuner will be used all over the world where there are not good wires, in cars and trucks with GPS (maps), in the military, in schools and colleges, libraries and become as common as phones. Network computers become one more plug and play device with Digital Video read and write memory on-demand video programs. A good share of work is done by tele-communers working on many business activities - banking, financial services, travel, goods and services of all kinds.
The future belongs to the aggressive, fast organizations that grab the new technology - Examples: C/net, Excite, CNN, Ericsson, Nortel, Lucent, Motorola, Hughes-Atcatel, Zenith, General Instruments, Scientific Attlanta, TCI, EchoStarr and the News-corp, Cisco, AmerTech, @home, ..N.O.I.S.E... Netscape, Oracle, IBM, SunMicrosystems and Everyone else ( Corel, Novell )
Aug
5th ....in one day with a flat market.. Communications
stocks in ORBIT
These predictions ignore three things: (1) the mounting pressure for faster access, (2) the realities of consumer behavior and (3) the difference between monopolistic and competitive markets.
Berst Alert TUESDAY, AUGUST 05, 1997 The Future of Fast Access
Jesse Berst, Editorial Director ZDNet AnchorDesk
You can't always figure out the future by looking at the past. Especially if you're trying to guess how and when American households will get fast Web access.
The PLA needs a tough all terrain communications device - Communicator with Data, Voice, graphics, ( Internet Browser ) brown box by the millions. The bandwidth is provided by Satellites and wireless transporters like cellular phones but better.
The PLA has the capacity to launch satellites and participate in manufacture of the network equipment and instruments. The contract could be for 10 years a few billion a year. The system has vast private applications. Cable & wireless, Singapore communications, German and Italian telephone, The Russian networks all can use the low cost tough cellular capacity of Low orbit satellites.
Information
Technology:The People's Liberation Army (PLA)is forging close ties
with China's powerful Ministry of Posts and Telecommunications (MPT).
The developing alliance, as a result of PLA's control over a sizeable
portion of the radio frequencies used in cellular communications,
could eventually create a third nationwide carrier. The PLA and MPT
are currently laying the groundwork for a mobile phone network that
will be called the "Great Wall Network". It will use an
advanced digital standard called "code division multiple access"
(CDMA). CDMA is the latest U.S. digital standard, it provides higher
capacity gains over current analog systems than the global system for
mobile communications (GSM). GSM is the main European standard being
currently implemented by the MPT and Unicom.
The first product of the new group will be Eye Ris, a new videoconferencing product for television and personal computer use. It offers full duplex audio and live video at up to 15 frames per second over ordinary telephone lines and dial-up internet connections. On a computer screen, it offers 160 by 120 pixel image size. According to Baraka Intracom, the system is the only videoconferencing system that can communicate over PSTN, POTS, the internet, ISDN and local and wide area networks. The product will be offered in two versions; a stand alone unit that includes a set-top box camera and remote control priced at 200 pounds and an installed version that includes CD- ROM software, video card and camera at 375 pounds. Both are due out in November. Other products in the Baraka Intracom portfolio include the VidCall 32 computer videoconferencing tool; the MediaViews internet multimedia broadcast system and the EyeWatch PC-based security system. The company also plans to bring out products for intercasting audio and video email.
Iridium
IRIDF at 28 7/8 up 40 1/2 ****GOOD
Orbital Sciences ORBI at 20
7/16 22 5/8 ***GOOD
Globalstar GSTRF 35 to 37 to 40 7/8 ****Good
FOR CURRENT PRICES from DataBroadcasting
http://stocks.wired.com/stocks_portfolios.asp wiredbrain password synergy
August 4, 1997
PC At Work Failing with style is software's hardest job
Complex systems usually operate in failure mode. This is the Fundamental Failure-Mode Theorem of John Gall, propounded in his 1975 book "Systemantics." Microsoft, it seems, has finally come to understand this insight.
What Gall meant was that it's pointless to talk about how a system behaves when all of its parts are doing what the designer had in mind. Real-world systems rarely have that luxury, since, at any given moment, at least one part of any nontrivial system (including the system's user) is having a bad day.
Good design limits the damage that results. By this criterion, Office 97 and Windows 95 exemplify bad design. Microsoft admitted as much with last month's announcement of the forthcoming "reinvention" of Office.
by Peter Schwartz and Peter Leyden
US government adopts a new information-age standard of measuring economic growth. Unsurprisingly, actual growth rates are higher than what had registered on the industrial-age meter. The US economy is growing at sustained rates of around 4 percent - rates not seen since the 1960s.
Businesses,
as well as most organizations outside the business world, begin to
shift from hierarchical processes to networked ones. People working
in all kinds of fields -
the professions, education, government,
the arts - begin pushing the applications of networked computers.
Nearly every facet of human activity is transformed in some way by
the emergent fabric of interconnection. This reorganization leads to
dramatic improvements in efficiency and productivity.
The driving force here is not so much concern with enlightening young minds as economics. In an information age, the age of the knowledge worker, nothing matters as much as that worker's brain. By the end of the 1990s, it becomes clear that the existing public K-12 school system is simply not up to the task of preparing those brains.
One is the introduction of personal computers. The other is the breakup of the Bell System. These events trigger two of the five great waves of technological change that will eventually help fuel the long boom...Biotech, computers, telecom, Infotech, and nanotech - contribute to a surge of economic activity.
Wiredbrain:
The BIG picture. It all comes
together. The network
as a life form. Computers and telecom and InfoTech is ONE with
nanotech.. small chips as plug-ins (smart cards) to a universal
modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog ). The drive behind the market is high tech global business and
low tech utilities in the developing world. China has one phone per
400 people - make it one satellite phone for every 100 adults is 12
million to start, world wide 150 million low cost modem ( or digital connection to replace the analog )s in Latin
America, India, Eastern Europe and another 100 million high grade
communications terminals in the industrial countries. Channels can
carry this traffic with ease. People's
Liberation Army
It's
right before my eyes.
I
am using Netscape Composer running as a Java machine. The
Communicator is in a box, it is in a connection, it is a system of
relationships, from laptops, network computers, digital telephones
with prices from $50.00 ( cordless phone) to $5,000 ( multi-link
video conferences ) using a common standard. AoL ANS networks and
Intel on packets.htm
By 1998, the Iridium global phone network is complete. By 2002, Teledesic's global Internet network is operational. These projects, among others, allow seamless connection to the information infrastructure anywhere on the planet by early in the century. By about 2005, high-bandwidth connections that can easily move video have become common in developed countries, and videophones finally catch on.
Alongside the migration of the traditional retail world into cyberspace, completely new types of work are created. Many had speculated that computer networks would lead to disintermediation - the growing irrelevance of the middleman in commerce.
Throughout the early part of the century, the combination of a deeper understanding of genetics, human biology, and organic chemistry leads to a vast array of powerful medications and therapies. .. Superproductive animals and ultrahardy, high-yielding plants bring another veritable green revolution to countries sustaining large populations. ....
Quantum computing, rather than DNA computing, proves to be the heir to microprocessors in the short run.
Hybrid electric car, British Columbia-based Ballard Power Systems are steadily developing the technology with little public fanfare. Within 10 years, there are transitional hydrogen car models that extract fuel from ordinary gasoline, using the existing network of pumps. By 2010, hydrogen is being processed in refinery-like plants and loaded onto cars that can go thousands of miles - and many months - before refueling. The technology is vastly cheaper and safer than in the 1960s and well on its way to widespread use.
By 2020, the Chinese economy has grown to be the largest in the world. Though the US economy is more technologically sophisticated, and its population more affluent, China People's Liberation Army and the United States are basically on a par. China has also drawn much of Asia in its economic wake - Hong Kong and Shanghai are the key financial nodes for this intricate Asian world.
The Western ( white ) Industrial world is likely to decline in relative terms from two thirds of Global Product (WGP) to 45 %. China will move from underdeveloped to developing, from less than a $1,000 PCP ( per capita product ) to over $5,000 ( in current dollars ). The developing world will grow from one third of the Global economy to about half. Social, political power follows economic so the Global Center of Cultural Gravity shifts from the Middle East and Asia in the 15th century to Europe to America in the 20th century and from America back to Asia in the 21st century.
The 1980s and 1990s see the emergence of small, innovative private schools that proliferate in urban areas where the public schools are most abysmal. Many focus on specific learning philosophies and experiment with new teaching techniques - including the use of new computer technologies. Beginning around 2001, the widespread use of vouchers triggers a rapid expansion in these types of schools and spurs an entrepreneurial market for education reminiscent of the can-do ethos of Silicon Valley. Many of the brightest young minds coming out of college are drawn to the wide-open possibilities in the field - starting new schools, creating new curricula, devising new teaching methods. They're inspired by the idea that they're building the 21st-century paradigm for learning.
Many people, if not most people, believe they can and are responsible to control the world around them. They know a lot of things are "out of control" but they maintain a belief in control. This is what it is "a belief". It causes a lot of frustration and tension.
Campbell, Joseph
1904-1987
American mythologist who wrote numerous influential works, including The Hero with a Thousand Faces (1949) and the four-volume Masks of God (1959-1967).
The common error: Making a thing out of an Idea
God is not an object, the Christ is not a person, The church is not an organization,
Myth, poems, art, dance, music are expressions of intuitions of the spirit. Art is not self-expression ( or it's not very interesting if it is ) but of a relationship with the spirits (muse) that can not be expressed in any other way.
The expression of the spirit, the soul, the divine, the universal, is the role of natural religion. Humans have always had the need to connect their external world with an Internal and universal spirit. Because "soul" is immaterial doesn't mean it doesn't exist. It exists as the ether, as emotions, as chemistry, as a lover, as a patriot, as an artist, as a skilled crafts person, being all together inside out with the spirits beyond self and material culture.
Western religion stem from The Persian religious leader Zoroaster in this century will found a faith whose sacred literature will be the Zend-Avesta. The teachings of Zoroaster (Zarathustra) will dominate Persian religious thought for centuries. The good is in battle with evil - The Christ come to defeat the devil and recreate Eden.
The "path" of the spirit takes work, attention, and the discoveries along the way are sometimes unpleasant. It's a lot easier to say "you believe and you will get everything " … Life after death, what bull. BUT still some religion is better than none -
Sectarian fundamentalism is not a birth pain but a sign of death. The great religions are breaking up into "White Buffalo Cults " because they are not doing their job. They do not relate to the traditions human emotional and spiritual needs and they can not help connect the human spirit to the physical world. The big lie only last so long.. Sectarian fundamentalist Religion can not deliver on the wild promises.
Spirit
cults, hatha yoga, The new "sufi", still have clues to the
path for those who seek. The 21st century will see new
great religions that may even call them selves Christian or Islam or
Buddhist but will be based on "practice", breath, song,
dance, and may have "teachers" but be more priest free.
Click
on Synergy Logo for 100 Kb Introduction - As
you are reading this, the page is being augmented by sites from all
over the web and setting up the tables' cellspace.We
are such stuff - As
dreams are made on, and our little life - Is rounded with a
sleep.
Key Word "wiredbrain" HotBot
has most of the 365 synergy Documents
MESSAGE
CENTER
Contents: Search
Synergy Site keys to knowledge and information Papers.htm
picks up news from May 15th on and continues from there to
Futures.htm,
book.htm
Wiredbrain's
application to the Minning Company
Since 3/15/1995 ( about 100 per day - 50 % of actual count )
FastCounter
by LinkExchange
Copies of the SYNERGY JOURNALS sent by request: pflaump@wiredbrain.com Peter E. Pflaum Ph.D. , Headmaster GLOBAL_VILLAGE_SCHOOLHOUSE 225 Robinson Road, New Smyrna Beach, FL 32169 (904) 428-1355
