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The core of communications is the base of the next revolution. Satellites connected to earth stations with super broadband wireless and cable connecting to "smart universal modems" for network computers and universal communications utilities including TV.
OFF THE WALL: Projections and forecasts:
1.) President Clinton will resign ( because he has "had-it") to become a University President sometime between the congressional elections in Nov. 1998 and the opening of congress in January 1999.
This establishes a new Constitution system of a six year Presidents with the next president having years of "on-the-job" training. It also allows for a selection process other than the crazy primary process. The new Vice-president will be black, female or both. The republicans will run Governor Thomson of Wisconsin with a female VP. They may win because
Information Technology:
The People's Liberation Army (PLA)is forging close ties with China's
powerful Ministry of Posts and Telecommunications (MPT). The developing
alliance, as a result of PLA's control over a sizeable portion of the radio
frequencies used in cellular communications, could eventually create a
third nationwide carrier. The PLA and MPT are currently laying the groundwork
for a mobile phone network that will be called the "Great Wall Network".
It will use an advanced digital standard called "code division multiple
access" (CDMA). CDMA is the latest U.S. digital standard, it provides higher
capacity gains over current analog systems than the global system for mobile
communications (GSM). GSM is the main European standard being currently
implemented by the MPT and Unicom.
2.) A banking crisis in China - a run on the banks
because of the problems with state run firms and the PLA industrial complex
-
China's People's Liberation Army is business dynamite
that can explode !
The
People's Liberation Army (PLA) of China has evolved
into the mainland's biggest conglomerate over the
past
10 years and is spreading overseas
causes a real crash before the Elections of 1999. A
successful coup in Russia, and a small war in the Middle East..
3.) So much for peace and prosperity
….
so
welcome
to
the
21st
century
The way the core of the computer - telecommunications market is going is at the Watch the keynote by MCI WorldCom’s
There are a new products call Web-TV, the network computer, advanced note books with cell phone built in, and important advances in satellite communications, Wideband / Broadband, cable modems and copper wire telephone services.
Imagine you have a black box which provides universal communications services: video telephone, Internet, fax, e-mail, cable TV, regular digital TV, CD music and games, had digital storage in Zig-a-bites, and wireless modem in 10 Meg-bits per second or better. The question is who is the Service Provider ?
Imagine companies, schools, homes where instead of millions
of PC the same black box provides all the applications, data banks, on-site
and computer home workers at their work stations. The applications programs
are downloaded with the data. A 10 Mb program takes 1 seconds to down load
the functions being used at that moment. The program "runs" on the CPU
of the black box, not time share terminal, but is fully integrated with
the wide area network and the Internet. Who provides the software, systems
management, data storage, and where is the server ?
It could be the satellite companies who own the high ground and the critical link in the whole system. There is the fight between Alcatel Alsthom 1/8ALSF.CN 3/8's Skybridge and Motorola's Celestri to get bands to develop and compete against Microsoft's Teledesic, which is backed by Boeing (BA.N). These become the first global telephone ( tele-communications ) company with direct services to companies, and local service providers. MCI-World Com -BT- ATT - DT -Sprint have to get into the Satellite Internet business FAST or be replaced. They are behind using analog rather than digital systems they should have made universal 20 years ago.
I don’t see much future for WIRE including cable after 2000, and the growth markets are in China, The USS -was, Eastern Europe, Latin America, which add up to double the number of users and four times the amount traffic every 18 months at half the cost per unit. "For technology, analysts said the trend within Asia could move towards the personal computer as a cheaper, commonly available product.
"Malaysia, Singapore and Hong Kong will probably lead the way as far as futuristic technology into the next millennium, but I wouldn't count out very strong IT investments in China," said Brian Kornegay, a senior personal computer analyst at IDC. "
The GREAT industrial companies of the next century will be tele-communications with a vast variety of "services", financial, travel, marketing of goods, retail sales, educational, all global all around us. This is the issue Nadar and the NOISE group are all about.
In all, the three plan to launch several hundred satellites in 2001 and 2002. The three projects, which would offer high-speed multi- media services via huge networks of satellites, require access to a large amount of radio frequency spectrum. These connections make possible the Network Computer the next generation of "smart" terminals that act as telephones, e-mail, PCs, business shops and services.
Alcatel Alsthom 1/8ALSF.CN 3/8's Skybridge and Motorola's Celestri to get bands to develop and compete against Microsoft's Teledesic, which is backed by Boeing (BA.N). In all, the three plan to launch several hundred satellites in 2001 and 2002. The three projects, which would offer high-speed multi- media services via huge networks of satellites, require access to a large amount of radio frequency spectrum. These connections make possible the Network Computer the next generation of "smart" terminals that act as telephones, e-mail, PCs, business shops and services.
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dailystocks most excellent information
The report illustrates just how dominant the computer sector of the economy has become as technology has become increasingly advanced. .. For example, the study found that the average wages of those who provide high-tech services are, in Kazmierczak's words, "phenomenal," with high-tech employees earning 73 percent more, on average, than private-sector employees. Providers of software services in particular, he said, are finding current economic trends to be extremely favorable
Ericsson Hosting Internet & Wideband Wireless Conference
Two-Day San Francisco Event Includes Internet Partners Discussing Convergence Strategies Third-Generation Wideband Wireless Multimedia mobile systems. This technology, to debut in some world regions in the year 2000, will enable wireless phones/terminals to deliver not only voice, but also full-motion video, and data-intensive information such as real-time Internet access.
It's about time ! The main line press has caught-on to the power of the internet ? What wiredbrain and others ( mainly Netscape, Oracle, ( considered to be a source of wise counsel or prophetic opinions. b. An authoritative or wise statement or prediction ) IBM, SunMicrosystems and the NOISE group ) have been talking about since Netscape 1.0 and WINS connections - the virtual office and the Network Computer has now arrived in the PC world.
"The new concept ( only to you ) goes by a variety of names: instant Web office; virtual office; instant intranet; Web tone; Internet dial tone; and so on. The idea is to provide everything a user needs on a central server. Users can then access that server over the Internet with just a terminal and a phone line. Then they "rent" Internet and intranet applications for as little as $10 to $20 per person per month. (That's a fraction of the per-user cost of an in-house intranet.)"
and a box that cost 10 % of a PC work station ( $500 vs. $5,000 ) and doesn't crash, doesn't need systems managers, and doesn't require constant upgrades but does need bandwidth.
MONDAY, OCTOBER 27, 1997 Instant Intranets Just Stage One in Emerging Market Struggle
Jesse Berst, Editorial Director ZDNet AnchorDesk
What is clear but not said is this is the end of the Age of the PC. First the main frame, then the PC now the NC -
There is now a immense industry we can call IT “INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY”.
IT now represents the critical modern enterprise growing to be a quarter of all economic activity.
IT is a greater engine for growth than railroads in the 19th century, oil and chemical industries in the first half of this century. IT is equal to the auto industry, which reached 25 % in the 1950s. “IT” like the auto industry includes the hardware ( the computer or car), the infrastructure, (communications and networks or the roads) the energy ( software or oil ) the services, ( consultants and staff or Gas Stations ) and parts ( modems, drives, or car radios ). IT includes the computers ( the car ), the roads ( the telecom business ), services ( software ) and the social educational infrastructure.
IT provides the web of life for modern enterprise - design, production, distribution, sales, of goods and services. IT is the growth industry and in labor market. There are millions of new jobs and additional people needed world wide.
Unlike the auto industry the IT business evolves quickly. New hardware computers and chips, new methods of communications, new applications evolve quickly. IT is quickly becoming one unified, highly complex living system on a global basis. The whole is more than the sum of the parts - synergy that comes from elaborate interactions.
There are critical “flash point” - global telcom systems based on satellites connect to earth stations that can use telephone lines including new high bandwidth technologies, optic fiber, wireless broadband, and cable connections. The high bandwidth connections use improved modems to provide support for networks. These new networks provide what have been called telephones, television, personal computers, and something new - beyond what now are common utilities.
The common base system is the “browser”, which will provide all of the application in a Java type objects - in a Video User Interface (VUI) using chips that can handle digital TV and Digital Hard Drives for storage all as parts of the new super modems.
IT is why the DOJ Microsoft case is important. What was called the “operation system” OS now becomes VUI, an interface between a “terminal” ( telephone, TV, and PC = NC ) and a communications media. The interface uses program “packets” as well as content “packets” the operational software is contained within the data. The difference between program and content no longer is significant. With bandwidth the “word processor” is attached to the files and comes as an instant updated package at the moment of use. This is Netscape’s, Oracle and others “vision” and the real challenge to Microsoft.
Berst Alert FRIDAY, OCTOBER 24, 1997
Key words Keidanren = Federation of Economic Organizations Kyokai gyokai shingikai MITI Hong Kong Japan Singapore
China's telecommunications market has become the fastest growing market in the world. Each year, some 20 million phones are added to the national network. The number of cellular phone subscribers exceeded 10 million by mid-1997. According to China's Ministry of Post and Telecommunications, by the year 2000, China's PSTN switching capacity will exceed 170 million lines, with more than 20 million mobile phone users People's Liberation Army
WASHINGTON, Oct. 2 /PRNewswire/ -- China's telecommunications market has become the fastest growing market in the world. People's Liberation Army Each year, some 20 million phones are added to the national network. The number of cellular phone subscribers exceeded 10 million by mid-1997. According to China's Ministry of Post and Telecommunications, by the year 2000, China's PSTN switching capacity will exceed 170 million lines, with more than 20 million mobile phone users. However, you don't have to go to China to learn what is going on in China's telecom market. For the third year Information Gatekeepers Inc. (IGI), in cooperation with the Telecommunications Industry Association, is organizing '97 China Telecom 2000 - the annual conference on China's telecommunications development. This year's conference will put specific focus on the wireless and data communications markets in China. People's Liberation Army
South East Asia and Japan will have a equal share with North America's 20 % almost second to Europe's 25 %. Asia including Hong Kong and it's Empire in Southern China, Japan and its Empire in Northern China People's Liberation Army and soon Eastern Russia, will soon be the largest economically and will begin to dominate politically, a vast part of the global economic system in the early part of the next century. This perception of current economic realties is almost completely absent in the west.
The coverage of the Hong Kong transfer gave no idea of the Global power shifts. Hong Kong, and the Cantonese industrial area, is now more politically and economically significant than Great Britain. What accounts for the rapid generation of wealth in Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and China ? The official politically correct attitude has to do with actions of Government leaders. There maybe something there but not much.. since various actions have had various effects and there is not a clear, documented and proven policies for economic development. Otherwise, the Aid Agencies and the World Bank could do more good than harm. Planning, MITI, Economic liberalism is touted in where it doesn't exist, in Singapore, freedom described as a cause of economic development, in clearly undemocratic authoritarian states such as Taiwan, Indonesia, Malaysia, etc. Maybe it's not political but technological...
We have hear about the globalization of banking due to improved communications. After banking comes shipping, and original equipment manufacture, (OEM) where parts can be designed, manufactured and assembled on a global scale. China has grown on the low wage industries, stuff toys and cotton goods, but that kind of development. As it was in Japan doesn't do a whole lot and is slow.
China is not slow, but its going at the speed of light, technology transfer doesn't take generations but seconds. The other secret is a long tradition of learning, respect, cooperation, and internal order - harmony - balance - is the highest value. The First Real electric Book : http://www.wiredbrain.com/book.htm
Another example of a business network organization is the so-called "vertical keiretsu," composed of a big firm and its subsidiaries and/or subcontractors. There also are a series of "trans-world" network organizations, formally or semi-formally institutionalized, which connect individual industrial "worlds" to organizations belonging to other "worlds": political, mass media, academic, consumer's unions etc., all mediated by concerned governmental offices.
Its most representative form is that of legally established "councils" (shingikai) both on national and local levels. A council usually has a large number of sub-councils, sectional meetings, small committees, etc. each specializing in one particular area or problem. Also there are less formal (not established by law) and thus "private" counselling groups or study groups for ministers, chiefs of bureaus, etc., again with their numerous sub-committees. The members of such organizations consist of former officials of concerned ministries; representatives of relevant industrial associations, labor unions, or consumer groups; and other learned or respected figures (scholars, journalists, etc.). The concerned government department acts as secretariat.
These groups are typical network organizations in that they regularly meet, their members and the secretariat bringing in information to be shared by all. They use this information to obtain a common perception of the present conditions surrounding them both at home and abroad, as well as to forecast future trends, and to reach overall consensus on how the public and private sectors in question should respond to those environmental conditions, especially to their changes. The final conclusion of such joint discussions is usually confirmed in the form of a document (often called the "vision" for a certain industry). OR any other key words -
PFLAUM Peter's home page BACK to SYNERGY - GO TO OPEN-ME Back to Page NEWS PAGES or Page TWO these links are designed to create alternative routes so there are many ways to experience this network. I am now working at the second level, for InterNET 101 , and APPLIED HUMAN RELATIONS in Synergy4 a AND synergy 5 .
79% Directory of documents [More Like This] URL: http://www.wiredbrain.com/documents/ Summary: do not build great companies, or educational theory create great .
79% pflaump@resourceful [More Like This] URL: http://www.geocities.com/~wiredbrain/serious.htm Summary: The "system" of socialist monopolies could not be reformed but had to change the fundamentals of operation to open up competition as do public schools. "Cultural Literacy" in "The Schools we Need", makes the same points foreign visitors have made about our "system" of public schools; they have no clear standards, are not really organized at all, so.
79% Synergy NETWORK NEWS PAGE, The VIRTUAL C... [More Like This] URL: http://www.wiredbrain.com/news.htm ~ http://www.wiredbrain.com/book.htm RE:
SYNERGY is where everyone ( well almost everyone wins ). Ruth Benedict's concept was of societies that made participation worth while for most people, rather than the " powers to be" hedging it all and setting the rules to benefit themselves. Sharing, empathy, honest, liberty, equality, in the division of the spoils are functional attitudes vs. greed, uncaring, anti-social, individualist, slavery, domination etc. The business you are in is SYNERGY, working with others to get the job done, the computer/telecommunications/Internet business is going to make that faster and let you do new things not done before. The neurological biochemical model of the nervous system, information and organizations
Contents: Search Synergy Site Papers.htm picks up news from May 15th on and continues from there to Futures.htm, Image. htm about the Image of the futures
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Copies of the SYNERGY JOURNALS sent by request: pflaump@wiredbrain.com Peter E. Pflaum Ph.D. , Headmaster GLOBAL_VILLAGE_SCHOOLHOUSE 225 Robinson Road, New Smyrna Beach, FL 32169 (904) 428-1355